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Reply to "Has anyone ever seen a PG grade of less than 7?"

Ja'Crispy posted:

I've seen it thrown out here many times that anyone can find a spot on a college baseball teams if they are willing to play anywhere just to say they played college baseball. Could a kid who is PG rated as a 2 realistically find a spot on a college roster?

10 -- Potential very high draft pick, Top DI in the nation prospect
9 -- Potential top 10 round pick, Top DI prospect
8 -- Potential mid round pick, definite DI prospect
7 -- Potential low round pick, DI prospect or top level Juco, DII
6 -- Possible DI prospect, definite DII or Juco prospect
5 -- Possible DII prospect or mid range Juco prospect
4 -- Possible low level DII or high level DIII prospect
3 -- Possible DIII or low level Juco prospect
2 -- Possible low level DIII prospect
1 -- No prospect at this time

You need to appreciate the scale as what it is, not what we form in our mind it to be.

Logically, when you hear of a 1-10 scale, you assume that 5 is the average and anything above or below are just that, above or below average.

So if you assume that 5.6% of HS baseball senior players go on to play college ball, and that 5.6% are above average, then the numbers make sense, since they are saying that a grade 2 of above has that POSSIBILITY.  While many of the kids attending a PG showcase won't go on to play HS ball, many of the attendees do, likely a MUCH higher percentage than 5.6%, so you have to consider the sample size is very skewed.

Much like the military where the annual rating system is unbelievably skewed to the extent that receiving a 97% appraisal (which you'd think would be rocking) is essentially a kiss of death and code for being an absolute dirt bag.

So by PG definition, scoring a 2 or above means they see the possibility of you playing college ball.  Not that you'll play 2 or 4 years, be a starter, etc., etc., but only that you'll play college ball, and a grade of 1 indicating that you have no chance of playing college ball at that time.  My guess is that all of us, by nature, would assume a grade of 3 or less would indicate that the kid is endangering himself by even being on the field, but by their scale, that's not the case.

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