quote:So the rest of you who are interested in velocity progression, beware of extrapolating the data and thinking your son is going to be throwing 93, 94+ and be a top-round draft choice. Chances are, his career will be over after high school. If he's talented, he'll get into a top college.
If he's especially talented, pro.
Back when, I did a study of velocity, also commented on by PG. I was, like many of you immersed in the data, trying to figure out whether Bum, Jr. had a chance.
He had a chance only because he worked his a** off.
The truth is, 99% of those that threw harder than my son in h.s. have been out of baseball for years. 1% threw softer and now throw harder.
Don't project, just do. Work at it and if it is meant to be it will happen.
It's really hard to project as each young player is unique. Son is approaching 6' as a freshman. How much more can he grow, don't know. He is approaching 80mph or may be over, how much faster can he go, don't know. All I tell him is to work hard and do the right things, if it happens it happens. If not, get a good GPA and go to a good school. Beyond that, it's a God given talent.