Originally Posted by CaCO3Girl:
People, my son hasn't been to a showcase. I'm trying to gauge how this board thinks these numbers match up with what actually happens with the players.
i.e. Does an 8 actually get D1 attention? Does a 6 actually get to play in college?
This likely requires a longer answer than this. As I've said many times, I highly recommend using the search button in the upper left of this site. This topic has been covered over the years. There is soooo much great content here....and most of it stands the test of time.
A lot depends on when the rating comes. A player who is rated a 6 or 6.5, unless that rating comes very early and he improves a ton, IMO, will NOT be college baseball material. Think of the rating system in some respects like some of the judging for Olympics. Just by showing up and not tripping over oneself, a player can probably get a 6. I doubt there has been a 5 or below given in a long, long time. But, this is just based off of my experience, the amount of time I spend on PG and the number of profiles I see. If a player doesn't receive at least a 7.5-8.0 at an initial showcase, I'd be concerned about whether he has the skills to play in college. PG may disagree, but that is based on experience.
Also, keep in mind that a rating is just a point in time. There are many examples of kids who were rated 7.5 or 8 early then end up at a 9 or even 10. To have a rating "upgraded" or "updated", one must attend another showcase. My son is actually a pretty good example. I took him to a PG Showcase Summer after 9th grade. He was rated a 2016 top prospect (size, projectable RHP), topped out at 81 and was given an 8 rating. Since then, he has developed nicely, can touch 90 mph and is committed to a D1 and is ranked highly in our state and Top 500 nationally. But, I've not taken him to another showcase (just a bunch of PG tournaments), so his rating is still an 8.0. While there are no guarantees, I strongly suspect he would be rated higher, and possibly much higher, if I took him to another showcase. Frankly, I wish PG would consider adjusting these ratings in situations where it is clear that a kid has advanced.