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Will G.
Of course Stock was throwing mid to high 80s last year as a 14yo freshman throwing for the varsity. I don't think our area is typical and I stand by my earlier estimates and if anything would drop them toward DG's numbers. I expect mine to be cruising about 68 or 69 as a freshman and am hoping for 70 to 72. He throws 67 and 68 when trying to throw hard so I'd put him as cruising at 63-64 for now. I also have a young 14yo on my Pony team who is cruising about 68-72 now so I figure he'll be low to mid 70s as a freshman.
Trust me when I say this: there are many more HS pitchers in the 70s than there are in the mid 80s.
My son is in the 8th grade and turned 14 2 weeks ago. He sits in the 74-76 range comfortably and that is way above average at 14U. We have 2 14U kids in the area (one the Baseball America POY last year)that hit 80 on my stalker this past weekend. That is exceptional.
I can't tell you how many people tell me about this kid or that kid that "must be in the upper 80s" and is in reality 81-83. Don't believe most of what you hear and you will be ahead of the game.
Mid 70's is above average; there is one guy I've seen in my state the last two years touching 80 at the age of 14. My son is a low 70's pitcher, and he's a pretty big strong kid.
A 14 year old at 80 or above is certainly not unheard of, but, like rbinaz says, it is exceptional.
Way above average. I'll be absolutely thrilled if mine can sit at 72 next year as a 14yo. It'll take some work, some growing and some maturing for that to happen.
It is amazing how much slower everyone throws when a QUALITY/ACCURATE gun is around. Don't believe academy guns, and don't believe word of mouth. I have seen scout guns on many top prospects, and they usually cruise at least 3-4 mph below what I heard the crusied.
Pretty common for a top speed (throwing hard for the gun as opposed to highest speed ever recorded) to be reported as a cruising speed and cruising speed is almost always about 4 mph below top speed.
Last time we gunned my 13yo he was hitting 67-68 regularly and hit 69 once. I estimate his cruising speed at 63 to 64 on that gun.
Fungo
Four young arms like that on one team? Sound as if you'll be winning lots of games for quite some time!
Having seen pitchers do well in HS against all but the best hitting teams without great location or great movement and also having seen their gun readings from showcases I'd say you are underestimating the impact of a 83+ mph fastball in HS. Any kid who can throw strikes at 83+ on a regular basis and has at least one off speed pitch will do reasonably well in HS. If they have good location and/or movement then they'll do very well.
Your observations would hold true in my area. In fact it would hold true at many small colleges.
I watched one of our HS pitchers throw against the only team to beat Chatsworth (last year's national champs) HS this year. He did quite well and he did fairly well against good teams as a junior. A showcase company showed him as topping out at 81 mph with only slight downward movement and a good slider last year. When I watched him pitch it looked like he was throwing smoke. He was probably throwing low 80s at most.
When I played against Mike Scott in HS in the early 70s I doubt very much he was throwing more than mid 80s and he was dominant. Of course we were using wood bats.
Yes. If he progresses well, he could be a good pitcher. He'll get some notice at any school. However, if he isn't facing top notch competition scouts and schools would like to see him against strong competition. That's where showcases and summer teams come into play. There are a lot of articles and a lot of information on here that can help you with the process.
quote:Originally posted by rbinaz:
I gun every pitcher I see at HS games and I see a lot....almost 50 games already this year.
Trust me when I say this: there are many more HS pitchers in the 70s than there are in the mid 80s.
My son is in the 8th grade and turned 14 2 weeks ago. He sits in the 74-76 range comfortably and that is way above average at 14U. We have 2 14U kids in the area (one the Baseball America POY last year)that hit 80 on my stalker this past weekend. That is exceptional.
I can't tell you how many people tell me about this kid or that kid that "must be in the upper 80s" and is in reality 81-83. Don't believe most of what you hear and you will be ahead of the game.
rbinaz:
My son is also an 8th grader in Tempe. Chances are we've seen our kids throw against each other. I also coach a 14U club team of Tempe kids. I don't really care how hard 4thgen is throwing as long as his command and composure is good. I've seen only one 14U kid throw in the mid-80's and right now with his back troubles I don't think he could be the one you gunned. I'd be curious who the other is?
I sent you a PM.
The only HS game I've seen lately did have both pitchers throwing 87 to 89 and both hit 90 once during the one inning they were gunned. I saw one of our websters at the game with a stalker and asked him later what the pitchers were throwing. Just to confirm how things get exaggerated I saw an article later saying that both pitchers were throwing into the low 90s.
Of course I went to the game knowing that there were going to be some pretty good pitchers throwing. I was hoping to see the webster's son throw but wasn't smart enough to go watch him throw in the pen and the game ended before he got a chance to come in.
The paper reported him as being 94 and made it sound like he sat there the whole game.
Here in Southern NH and we had 2 8th graders last year in the area that threw 80+.
One threw 78-81, the other 81-83. Have timed the first guy only once this year and he was 79-82. He told players that he has hit 87 but was no where near that when I timed him.
2nd player that threw 81-83 last year is now Freshman, he’s 15yrs 5-months at runs 82-85 and hit 86-87 few times per game. I have timed him many times this season.
Have only timed a few Upperclassman in NH Class-L (large school) that cruise over 80 this year.
quote:Originally posted by rbinaz:
CADAD, similar thing here. Our 5A championship featured one of the top 2007 arms in the country. I've seen him as high as 93 but on Saturday he was 88-89 and showed 90 at times.
The paper reported him as being 94 and made it sound like he sat there the whole game.
I was at a game early in the season where a scout had that kid at 94 for a high and 91-92 on most fastballs. Perhaps he just wore down as the season went along.
quote:I was at a game early in the season where a scout had that kid at 94 for a high and 91-92 on most fastballs. Perhaps he just wore down as the season went along.
I was probably at that game too as I've seen similar numbers on the kid. I've seen him 5 times this spring and a number of times last fall and summer as well. You have to understand that its not uncommon to see signinficant variation in velocity from outing to outing and at different times of the year.This particular pitcher is normally in the 88-90 cruising range which was consistently as high as anyone in the state (despite what you may read in the media).
quote:Originally posted by rbinaz:quote:I was at a game early in the season where a scout had that kid at 94 for a high and 91-92 on most fastballs. Perhaps he just wore down as the season went along.
I was probably at that game too as I've seen similar numbers on the kid. I've seen him 5 times this spring and a number of times last fall and summer as well. You have to understand that its not uncommon to see signinficant variation in velocity from outing to outing and at different times of the year.This particular pitcher is normally in the 88-90 cruising range which was consistently as high as anyone in the state (despite what you may read in the media).
Agreed about the variance from start to start or week to week. In addition I agree that concern about lighting up the gun is overblown. The hitters will let you know if someone is throwing hard.
As it relates to this subject, average speed for a 14 or 15 year old, it makes even less sense to get hung up on. Pitchers at this stage should be concerned with perfecting mechanics, getting stronger, (actually more poerful), and staying healthy. That is the path to maximizing potential, whatever it is, as a HS player.
plp556
as for avg. speed, I doubt it is even that high for freshman. I am a freshman LHP and 5'9" 151 lbs. and sit around 73-75, and have been clocked as high as 78 but some people say I can throw it 80, nonetheless I've never done it. It's rare to find another freshman around here throwing that hard, and I have seen 2 all season, which was mostly spent on JV before being the only freshman moved up to varsity. One sat in the upper 70's and was a LHP with a sharp curve, and was just slightly bigger than me, however I believe he just hurt his arm (so I've heard; he threw way too many curves). The other was a 6'2" 190 lbs. freshman who sat low 80's and could probably hit 85. We didn't really hit him, though I got a hit myself since it was pretty fast.
At the varsity level, the average speed around here is probably around 80, maybe just under. It is rare to find guys higher than 85, and lower than 76. There's a few guys who break 90, but I've never faced them myself. Once again, as of right now I haven't seen many freshman throw harder than me (at least at my size) and I have just started to work out. So I doubt 73-73 is average mph for a freshman, unless Southern Cal is THAT much better than NY
Parts of SoCal can be pretty good. I was just talking to the coach of our Pony 13A team and he gunned his pitchers at 1. 79 mph, 2. 76 mph, 3. 73 mph, 4. & 5. 69 mph. These were max speeds. I believe 2. is going into 9th grade and the others are going into 8th grade. Our Pony 13B team has one pitcher throwing 69 to 70 max w/ good movement and one throwing 70 to 71 max. One will be a freshman the other will be an 8th grader. They'll probably all be cruising somewhere around their current max speed next year. My guess is that the 1. and 2. won't be playing freshman ball when they are freshman. 1. will probably go straight to varsity as a 15yo freshman and 2. will probably go to JV as a 14 yo freshman. The others will cruise up to the low 70s as freshmen.
Back then we were told if you couldn't throw 85 don't even bother. Nowadays it is the same although with the new guns that 85 mph fastball would read 88.
You've got to be able to pitch or you won't help your team and won't be a pitcher. Eventually if your goal is to stay in baseball you'll also have to be able to throw hard enough to generate interest. Once you're signed they'll tell you to how to pitch and only results will matter.
Cruising speed is the speed a pitcher normally throws at and can control his pitches. Typically a pitcher's cruising speed is about 4 or 5 mph less than his maximum speed.
For example, my son maxes out at about 70 mph, can throw hard somewhere around the strike zone at about 67 to 68 mph and cruises at about 65 mph. If we were to gun him in a game most of his fastballs would be at about 65 mph. We'd also see some fastballs at 67 and 68 and a few at 70 or below 65.
If a pitcher can locate his fastball, and can throw an off speed pitch for strikes then he's got the minimum necessary to be a pitcher. From there the harder he can throw and still locate the fastball and mix in that off speed pitch, the better.
Wow thats pretty quick for such a young age how big are those kids you're talking about.
I just finished up my summer season with the Westchester Wolfpack 18u team. I'm only 15, but i played up most of the guys r in college. I've had a few college scouts approach me (before learning my age) saying I'm mid-upper 70s in some tournaments weve been to. i was supposed to go to east cobb and several perfect game tourneys with another team but cracked a rib in june after being hit by a mike wanamaker fastball @ 93 mph... hes going to BC and was drafted by the pirates i think.
Just wanted to get a gauge of how my progress is versus other kids throughout the country. baseball in Westchester County, NY isnt exactly top notch, and I've always dreamed of Stanford/hopefully pros later on, and want to see me against everyone else... im a lhp and about 5'9" 158 by the way
Also don't focus on the velocity, he'll do enough of it on his own. IMO your job is to protect his arm making sure that he doesn't throw too many innings for travel ball etc...doesn't go out and throw alot the day after he pitches (if at all) ice down etc...and that he has good mechanics.
The above with growth and maturity as well as building body strength and conditioning will put him in the right direction.
It really is too early to project... velocity isn't really the main concern, especially in high school. My summer team just beat a kid from North Carolina 8-2. Kid threw 95 tops and we lit him up (wood bat by the way) because that's all he had. 2 days later we faced a guy from Canada who hit 82 tops twice and he shut us out. Velocity is the most overrated thing in baseball.
Don't worry about the velocity focus on mechanics and arm strength. Your kid seems fine in his size, and velocity seems average. If all goes well he should be throwing in the 80s in high school. But really, you never know. You have to be smart, long toss builds arm strength the most probably. I was invited to take BP with the Yankees and long tossed with Sheffield for a few minutes. Easily the greatest thing for your arm, although you should definitely be smart about it cause I tried to keep up with Gary's distance and ended up with a sore arm that night. So be smart, and your son will be fine.
The two hardest throwers are about 5'11" and 6'. One of them was the kid who won the US championship game in the LLWS last year, throwing most of his fastballs at 70-71 mph. He was 5'10" at the time.
At this point, it seems as though your son is fine. From your description he has nothing to worry about. As for development in different players, it happens at different times. I know people who were 5'9" and throwing 75 mph. at the age of 12 and are still 5'9" and throwing low-80's and they are seniors in high school. I myself began development from 7th to 8th grade (I am now in 10th). In 7th grade I threw maybe low-60's, 8th I threw low-70's. Now I pop 80, and have just started to lift weights (I am a lefty pitcher). I am not aware of the size of your son or where he is in delevopment, but from my past experiences, if your son continues to hit his spots and miz the ball in and out, up and down and changes speeds, he'll do just fine.
quote:Originally posted by TRhit:
For all you young pitchers---don't worry about your velocity so much--be cocncerned with good mechanics, ball movement and pitch location---doesn't matter very much if you throw harder than the next guy but you dont get guys out
What he said
quote:Originally posted by J H:
DadofPlayer
Velocity is the most overrated thing in baseball.
Don't worry about the velocity focus on mechanics and arm strength.
With all due respect, this is a contradiction. It also sends the wrong message. Eventually, if you don't have velocity you will be cut. Maybe not from the high school team, but certainly at the college level. Sorry, you have to have velocity.
If you have proper mechanics and arm strength, you will have velocity. And the best way to develop arm strength is through long-toss.
If you young players want to throw faster, you need the arm speed. Throwing on a consistent basis to maximum distance (using the Jaeger program) and combining this with a good mechanical instruction and conditioning program is the way to go.
quote:Originally posted by baseball pitching:
is you can throw 95 and dont have control. youd be lucky if your better than somyone who throws 65 or so.
baseball pitching, first of all.. welcome to HSBBW! But my goodness, you were kidding right?
Anyone that throws 95 must have some degree of mechanical refinement otherwise his arm would blow-out right quickly. I guarantee you, if you throw 95 any scout in his right mind would be all over you regardless if you couldn't find the strike zone with a pair of binoculars. They'll work on the strike zone part later.
Here's my point. Be obsessed with velocity. Maybe not at 14 but certainly at 16+. Outstanding velocity goes hand in hand with good mechanics. So it's a case of "what came first, the chicken or the egg?" argument. If you work on mechanics, your velocity will improve. The concepts are not mutually exclusive.
getting guy's out is a pitchers job. do your job and you'll go far.
90's get you drafted, getting guy's out keeps you there. imho.
Listen to BUM he is spot on.
My son just came off his freshmen season last year and I don't have my log book here at work, but from my memory. (Stalker)
Top Freshmen: Cruise 74-76; 78 Max (2 of them all season)
Ave Freshmen: 70-72 (league play top 1-2 kids on teams)
Others : 67-70
JV: Top one I saw 78-80 (82)
Ave: 75-76
I have heard that there were 1-2 freshmen kids in out county throwing over 80, but I never got a gun on them.
I always bring up the mcdsguy/HSBBW rule when velocity comes up "ask dad subtract 7" trust me it is surprisingly accurate.
Continue to work hard on velocity, it is the keys to the kingdom.
The kid never played an inning of high school ball, his dad would take him out on game days and throw him 40-80 pitches before they ever got to the park, Dad's motto: Throw harder, never worked mechanics, dad had very little knowledge.
The kid developed elbow problems when he was 13. Took a year off from pitching. When he was 14 we used him in limited closing situations only, dad was not happy. Not pitching him enough. Been with me for seven years. I let him know his pitching workload would not change. He pulled the kid off the team, went to Little League, pitched every game till the end of the Summer, blew up his elbow, that was it.
Chalk one up for dear old dads!
The fresh rhp from my first post went to NC State as a corner inf / of / rhp. He was 88-91 for us his sr year. The fresh catcher went to UNC. The soph pitcher was drafted out of hs and is with Tampa at the A ball level. His sr year he as 90-93.
All three worked very hard. I was a lot better coach when we had them in our program.
I found velocity very important in determining whom coaches pitch as freshmen in high school. When Bum, Jr. was a freshman, there was one kid that maybe threw 1-2 M.P.H. faster, and he was also a big kid (3-sport star). Bum, Jr.'s advantage was that he was a LHP--and had pretty good velocity as well, maybe 70-72. As the years went by, he worked very hard on velocity and became the ace of each school and Summer team he played on. And some of you know where he's at today with hard work. The big kid? He dropped out of baseball, blew out his knee playing basketball.. but that's another story.
If you're 14 y.o., or the parent of a 14 y.o., I will give you the advise I have given others: Velocity is not the show. It is the ticket to the show. You must be obsessed with velocity, but you must be equally obsessed with the art of pitching. Again, the concepts are not mutually exclusive. However, please don't think that, if you don't have superstar velocity at 14 y.o. you can't get it if you work your tail off. Some kids get it later. Some never get it. There's no rhyme nor reason to this thing.
So.. now that you know velocity is important, what are you going to do about it? How are you going to go get it?
As a side note, in league play he is pretty fast compared to the other kids, but we went to some fairly high level tournaments in 2007 and 2008 and I would say he was a 6 or 7 on a scale one(slow) to ten(fast). In regional all-star games he is probably a 8.
quote:Originally posted by CADad:
14 yo average cruising speed would be about 65 mph. Average freshman pitcher (14 to 15yo) cruising speed would be about 70 mph. Average cruising speed for a good HS pitching prospect at 14 to 15 yo would be about 75 mph. That will usually get a freshman pitcher onto the JV assuming reasonable pitching ability to go along with the velocity. Cruising at 80 mph as a freshman would be a potential star. Cruising at 85 mph as a freshman is maybe one in the entire country each year.
Our highschool has an 8th grader(young 14) starting varsity and was REPORTEDLY throwing 82 at the start of the season.
It happens. When my son played 14U one kid who was 13U eligible cruised in the low 80's. He was 6'2". Robert Stock, now at USC hit 90 when he was fourteen. But this stuff is not close to normal.quote:Originally posted by tfox:quote:Originally posted by CADad:
14 yo average cruising speed would be about 65 mph. Average freshman pitcher (14 to 15yo) cruising speed would be about 70 mph. Average cruising speed for a good HS pitching prospect at 14 to 15 yo would be about 75 mph. That will usually get a freshman pitcher onto the JV assuming reasonable pitching ability to go along with the velocity. Cruising at 80 mph as a freshman would be a potential star. Cruising at 85 mph as a freshman is maybe one in the entire country each year.
Our highschool has an 8th grader(young 14) starting varsity and was REPORTEDLY throwing 82 at the start of the season.
He is one of those rare kids that is just a great athlete(in all things sport) but he puts in the time to go with that naturall ability.
He doesn't take out the garbage until he's reminded at LEAST three times. He has a 4.0+ GPA (I've lost faith in the school system).
Personally, I think a lot of this measurement stuff is over rated. You all probably have kids who can mow the lawn or take out the garbage the FIRST time they're asked. That's outstanding. You have a lot less work to do than I.
Some freshmen are 5'2" on their way to 6'3". Their velocity will be different than my kid, who is 6'3" on his way to 6'3". Probably not as much upside for mine.
Keep developing them and let them bloom.
If you can get them to take out the garbage or mow the lawn along the way, more power to you!
A friend of mine entered high school at 5'6" hoping to make the freshman team. He graduated from an SEC school as a 6'4" All-American. He made it as far as AAA. He said in high school it never crossed his mind he would become a pro pitcher.quote:Some freshmen are 5'2" on their way to 6'3".
quote:Originally posted by JMoff:
My son, a freshman LHP is 6'3" 190 lbs. He 'cruises' at 82-83. He tops at 86-87. He's also thick as a brick. His favorite word is 'what' pronounced wwwhhhhattt????
He doesn't take out the garbage until he's reminded at LEAST three times. He has a 4.0+ GPA (I've lost faith in the school system).
Personally, I think a lot of this measurement stuff is over rated. You all probably have kids who can mow the lawn or take out the garbage the FIRST time they're asked. That's outstanding. You have a lot less work to do than I.
Some freshmen are 5'2" on their way to 6'3". Their velocity will be different than my kid, who is 6'3" on his way to 6'3". Probably not as much upside for mine.
Keep developing them and let them bloom.
If you can get them to take out the garbage or mow the lawn along the way, more power to you!
Great post,I can still put a hand on the backside of mine and will but it still takes 3-4 times to get him to get in the shower or take out the garbage.He is a black belt and I suspect in about 2 years,he may be able to take me behind the wood shed. I keep telling him,the day he can whip my but is the day he can/will move out.
I can dream, can't I?
As I grew my father would joke there will be a day where respect sets in or he would be in physical trouble with me. One day in high school I forgot about respect and took a shot at my dad. Before I knew what hit me I was on the floor wrapped up like a pretzel. He inflicted just enough pain as to not injure me. My dad glared at me and laughed in a not funny way, "You just chose to mess with a WWII Marine vet trained in hand to hand combat. Bad decision"quote:Great post,I can still put a hand on the backside of mine and will but it still takes 3-4 times to get him to get in the shower or take out the garbage.He is a black belt and I suspect in about 2 years,he may be able to take me behind the wood shed. I keep telling him,the day he can whip my but is the day he can/will move out
Even though I knew my father was a great athlete, I couldn't picture a guy who put on a suit five days a week and drank martinis being that tough. Maybe they were the greatest generation for what they lived through. There was never another issue with respect.
Problem with my situation,my son is the one being trained in TKO and I weigh 140#'s and 5'9".
At the 14U PG tournament last week PG's guns were reading 75-79 consistantly for 5 or 6 of our 13U pitchers (2 leftys). About half are rising 8th graders. Hopefully they can pick up a few MPH before their 9th grade year.
I agree with hitting your spots, though. You know what you call a 100 mph pitch thrown outside the strike zone? Ball 1.
First off, he won't be 15 until December and just starting freshman year of HS. We're still waiting for a serious growth spurt - probably only 5-6 and 120 pounds.
He's never had a gun on him before, but last week he went to a travel ball tryout and maxed out at 72 mph. Probably cruises 6-7 mph less in games, though has excellent control, keeps the ball down and keeps hitters off balance - lot of pop ups and ground balls.
How does this 72 mph translate for his current physical size? And how does additional size project to future velocity?
Despite what folks are saying here, the physical late-bloomer who ends up being the ace down the road, my worry is the HS coach come this spring will look first to the 6-ft, 170 pounder freshmen.
He is right in there for velocity for a HS Freshmen. When my son was a Fr the top velocity I saw was 78,(Stalker-toward the end of the season) and average around 70, some a little more some a little less. The top pitchers were working 72-75 typically. There will be large variations in the Fr and Soph years depending on when they hit their growth spurt.
My son coaches a travel team in Charleston SC and had a 12yo stalking at 78mph. Who know what will happen with him.
Years ago I watched 2 15yos who were consistently in the 90s. One topped at 92. Their P coach was a 15year veteran Detroit Tiger pitcher. I am not sure if they survived to play college or pro.
Forget the size issue. As the old saying goes control what you can control. Other wise you will torture yourself for nothing.
quote:Originally posted by jayhook:
Hey, just took the time to read the observations and comments gathered over the years. Hope I'm not repeating what has already been addressed, but trying to get a handle on where my son is at.
First off, he won't be 15 until December and just starting freshman year of HS. We're still waiting for a serious growth spurt - probably only 5-6 and 120 pounds.
He's never had a gun on him before, but last week he went to a travel ball tryout and maxed out at 72 mph. Probably cruises 6-7 mph less in games, though has excellent control, keeps the ball down and keeps hitters off balance - lot of pop ups and ground balls.
How does this 72 mph translate for his current physical size? And how does additional size project to future velocity?
Despite what folks are saying here, the physical late-bloomer who ends up being the ace down the road, my worry is the HS coach come this spring will look first to the 6-ft, 170 pounder freshmen.
jayhook, I'd say your son is pretty much on track. Different kids throw different for their body size. I have seen huge kids throw slow and little kids throw hard. But, for his size, I would say he throws pretty good. Should be fine for freshman team as long as he can hit his spots and change speed. Teams are always looking for pitching and as long as he is effective, he will have a spot.
You have a wealth of information and can be a great asset to posters and readers here. I refer people to your site all of the time.
Work out the guidliness with Julie first so you start out on the right foot.
Welcome!
I really don't think that trying to throw for the gun causes injury. Overuse is far more often the culprit. This kind of goes back to the old thing about showcases causing injuries because the kids tend to throw for the gun at showcases. I just haven't seen that to be the case. Now if a kid showcases without adequate rest after pitching for his school team or pitches for his school team without adequate rest after showcasing then there's certainly increased risk of injury. That isn't because they showcased or tried to throw for the gun. That's because of overuse.
There's always a tiny bit more risk if you throw a bit harder but just hoping that growth and maturity will result in reaching one's fastball potential if a pitcher never pushes the envelope is pretty risky.
quote:Originally posted by Billybobjoe3:
My max speed when I was a freshman was 81 and was accurate and my pitches moved. But I still got cut.
You can move to our school. Really. Like this weekend.
I've read most of the comments and they're ridiculous.
The average pitching speed for a grade 9 is between 66-72
The fastest I've seen so far for a grade 9 is 82, and he's a freak.
The good pitchers in my league are throwing 74-77, with none above that other than 2 guys.
A grade 8 thats 14, average speed is 60-66
So if you're throwing 70 you're well ahead of the game.
Then a grade 10 is anywhere from 75-81
With the fastest thrower in the league above me touching 86, and as before, he's a freak.
As a grade 9 right now I'm topping out at 77 and cruising at 75-76, and not being arrogant, but I'm one of the top pitchers in the league.
James ... Why don't you learn more about this board before you make rude comments about people you know nothing about. This is not your typical high school board. Many of the poster's kids on this board had exceptional high school pitching careers and went on to pitch in college and pro ball. Many of them were ahead of the curve by freshman year of high school. Many of them attended large high schools where the talent and competition was fierce. When my son was in high school if a freshman pitcher didn't throw at least 70 if he was lucky he might be asked to throw batting practice. Because that's what he would be if he pitched in a game. Any soph not throwing 80 would be close to the end of the line on JV unless he got over 80 by the next year. My son cruised 83 as a soph. He had the fourth highest velocity on varsity. In some schools in TX, FL and CA anyone throwing 83 wouldn't be considered a pitcher.
As a grade 9 right now I'm topping out at 77 and cruising at 75-76, and not being arrogant, but I'm one of the top pitchers in the league.
Cruising at 76 and topping out at 77? Cause that makes sense.
James,
Not sure what exposure you have had to elite competition, however calling folks ridiculous may be a little much. 9th grade is year 2017, ....BFS Jr just returned from WWBA a few weeks ago for 2017's and upper 70's were a dime a dozen...a few sat upper 80's and we played against one team that had a kiddo hit 90. Jr. Is one of 4 on his team that sits 80's....here is the funny thing....those who threw mid 80's straight but could not "pitch" on the black or spin it, got hammered.
Just got back this wknd from a showcase that was well attended by Big 12 schools...mainly 2015's.... Jr.'s team is 2017.... velo was important, but again if you can't "pitch" it gets you out of the game soon....My point....yes 80's as a 9th grader is becoming more common place, however if you can't locate and change speeds, it means little.....too many people want to match radar readings....only important if you have the rest of the package.....
My 2018 is cruising 85-87.... BB is 78-79..... he's the varsity closer this season.... has thrown 22 innings, striking out 49 and has yet to give up a run. Invited to Area Code the other day.....
An important aspect when asking about velocity at a certain age is considering physical maturity. My son was 5'11" 135 as a freshman. He was 6'1" 170 as a senior. His velocity was much greater after getting bigger and stronger.
If I remember correctly, bacdorslider's youngest is a pretty big kid, at least compared to my 5'11", 155lb 2018. I would say a Frosh velo at 85-87 is not among the average. I think 70-75 would be more average.
Bacdor, you have a great four years ahead of you with your 2018. Good luck!
An important aspect when asking about velocity at a certain age is considering physical maturity. My son was 5'11" 135 as a freshman. He was 6'1" 170 as a senior. His velocity was much greater after getting bigger and stronger.
This is exactly right. 2019Son's teammate who is touching 80 throws really, really hard for an 8th grader. OTOH, he doesn't throw exceptionally hard for a 6'1" 190 lb. kid . . .
An important aspect when asking about velocity at a certain age is considering physical maturity. My son was 5'11" 135 as a freshman. He was 6'1" 170 as a senior. His velocity was much greater after getting bigger and stronger.
This is exactly right. 2019Son's teammate who is touching 80 throws really, really hard for an 8th grader. OTOH, he doesn't throw exceptionally hard for a 6'1" 190 lb. kid . . .
Come on 2019 you know better than that. My son is a 6'1" 7th grader 6'2" in shoes. He doesn't throw 80. 80 is phenomenal for ANY 8th grader. If anything the big kids are at a serious DISADVANTAGE. Of course I would love my son to get to 6'5" or more. But in a way i can't wait for him to stop growing, get his coordination and grow his adult muscle. An 8th grader is a kid. Regardless of size he just doesn't have that adult type muscle a 16 thru 18 may have. And some get it even in college. Throwing 80 in 8th grade is an outstanding accomplishment. Kudos to that kid.
2018 was 83 as 8th grader, 87 as freshman, he is 6'2 165 PG scout has him top 50 in nation.....who knows if he will continue to make velo jumps. his brothers are 6'4 and 6'5
But you have to have grades, attitude, coachable, location, control, repeatability....
2018 was 83 as 8th grader, 87 as freshman, he is 6'2 165 PG scout has him top 50 in nation.....who knows if he will continue to make velo jumps. his brothers are 6'4 and 6'5
But you have to have grades, attitude, coachable, location, control, repeatability....
Grades yes. And I am sure your son has the rest but even if he didn't there would be a lot of takers at those numbers. Truth is he may never make it to college. It's stylish now a days to downgrade velocity. But ask yourself how many kids throwing 90+ in high school (who have the grades) do not get picked up in the draft or by D1's? I am guessing it would be a short list.
I would agree with this. And bacdoorslider's post makes the point more concretely -- 83 as an 8th grader is now the next year one of the top 50 freshmen in the country.
My point about physical maturity -- actually, it was RJM's point -- was more about weight than height. The 8th grader who is 5'10" 135 lbs. and throwing 75 may have more projection than the 8th grader who is 6'1" 190 lbs. and throwing 80 . . . Of course, individual situations will vary, but physical maturity is a big factor at this age, IMHO.
Having unashamedly gunned almost every varsity pitcher I have seen (yeah, yeah...I'm "that" guy) I can chime in with the following. For freshmen (limited to freshmen pitching varsity) you're looking at a norm of 74-78 mph. I would imagine freshmen at sub-varsity to be a little lower. Now, you have your outliers like BDS's kid or, in fact a freshman here in Colorado, Tanner O'Tremba who bats cleanup as a freshman on the #1 team in the highest classification of the state. That kid has 4 home runs this season. He's not even really a pitcher, but took the mound a few times this season and PBR scouts gunned him at 87mph, cruising at 84-85.
Despite the idea you may get from boards like this, which are generally populated by parents of the top kids, 80's as a frosh is fairly rare.
I would agree with this. And bacdoorslider's post makes the point more concretely -- 83 as an 8th grader is now the next year one of the top 50 freshmen in the country.
My point about physical maturity -- actually, it was RJM's point -- was more about weight than height. The 8th grader who is 5'10" 135 lbs. and throwing 75 may have more projection than the 8th grader who is 6'1" 190 lbs. and throwing 80 . . . Of course, individual situations will vary, but physical maturity is a big factor at this age, IMHO.
This is the funny thing about recruiting/scouting. What you say makes perfect sense. Yet, the only time you see the phrase "projectable" in baseball recruiting is when it is attached to the analysis of very tall kids.
I would say from what I have seen through the years.... 14-15 yr old velo is not crazy important. Honestly , 2018 is not the norm.... he has a gifted arm. He should be mid 90's as a sr... I would say D1 , outside chance draft.... bu.t still too early to know anything
BUT
My 2013 was 77 as an 8th grader , 81 as a freshman, 83 as a soph , 84 as a sr.... 85 as a freshman (juco) 87-88 as a soph (juco) has mad movement , location, and work ethic.... he's going to Tennessee Tech next season..... years of hard work, and people telling him he was not good enough...
My point is you do not know yet.... too many factors.... BTW 2013 is 2018's pitching coach
Velo is important.... it gets the scouts to show up.... but 0's on the scoreboard keep you on the mound.
Heaving had 4 sons at this age, and they are all different... put your son in the best league you can where he can succeed... work on all aspects of pitching, play to your strengths... work on the weakness...
My point is you do not know yet.... too many factors.... BTW 2013 is 2018's pitching coach
Velo is important.... it gets the scouts to show up.... but 0's on the scoreboard keep you on the mound.
Excellent point...
I would say from what I have seen through the years.... 14-15 yr old velo is not crazy important. Honestly , 2018 is not the norm.... he has a gifted arm. He should be mid 90's as a sr... I would say D1 , outside chance draft.... bu.t still too early to know anything
BUT
My 2013 was 77 as an 8th grader , 81 as a freshman, 83 as a soph , 84 as a sr.... 85 as a freshman (juco) 87-88 as a soph (juco) has mad movement , location, and work ethic.... he's going to Tennessee Tech next season..... years of hard work, and people telling him he was not good enough...
My point is you do not know yet.... too many factors.... BTW 2013 is 2018's pitching coach
Velo is important.... it gets the scouts to show up.... but 0's on the scoreboard keep you on the mound.
Heaving had 4 sons at this age, and they are all different... put your son in the best league you can where he can succeed... work on all aspects of pitching, play to your strengths... work on the weakness...
Looks like the mph after freshman year were a grind. Did he stop growing early? Was he on a pitcher specific workout? Really happy for him. And you must be proud how hard he worked to grind out those needed mph.
An important aspect when asking about velocity at a certain age is considering physical maturity. My son was 5'11" 135 as a freshman. He was 6'1" 170 as a senior. His velocity was much greater after getting bigger and stronger.
This is exactly right. 2019Son's teammate who is touching 80 throws really, really hard for an 8th grader. OTOH, he doesn't throw exceptionally hard for a 6'1" 190 lb. kid . . .
80 in our area for any Varsity pitcher is pretty good.
Location and movement wins games at the high school level in our area.
At our HS (2200) enrolled..... as a varsity RHP if you are not 84-85 your not pitching much... we see 85-88 most all of the time, with a few 90's
At our HS (2200) enrolled..... as a varsity RHP if you are not 84-85 your not pitching much... we see 85-88 most all of the time, with a few 90's
Same at my alma mater, Joliet Catholic. Have 3 90+ guys this year. But that is not the norm everywhere! Where I coach we play summer ball so anybody throwing mid 80's and up doesn't play. We have two kids in our hallways in that range but they play travel ball not high school ball. If we went to spring baseball they would both play.
I would say from what I have seen through the years.... 14-15 yr old velo is not crazy important. Honestly , 2018 is not the norm.... he has a gifted arm. He should be mid 90's as a sr... I would say D1 , outside chance draft.... bu.t still too early to know anything
BUT
My 2013 was 77 as an 8th grader , 81 as a freshman, 83 as a soph , 84 as a sr.... 85 as a freshman (juco) 87-88 as a soph (juco) has mad movement , location, and work ethic.... he's going to Tennessee Tech next season..... years of hard work, and people telling him he was not good enough...
My point is you do not know yet.... too many factors.... BTW 2013 is 2018's pitching coach
Velo is important.... it gets the scouts to show up.... but 0's on the scoreboard keep you on the mound.
Heaving had 4 sons at this age, and they are all different... put your son in the best league you can where he can succeed... work on all aspects of pitching, play to your strengths... work on the weakness...
Looks like the mph after freshman year were a grind. Did he stop growing early? Was he on a pitcher specific workout? Really happy for him. And you must be proud how hard he worked to grind out those needed mph.
He made a good jump from 8th grade to freshman he went from 6'0 to 6'3.... then during the soph and jr years, needed to "fill out" But again when he went for 20 years old to 21 and in a top JUCO program his velo jumped again... he is a solid 6'3 200 and TTU feels he can reach 90 next year.... as their training table , weight room, trainers are much better.... Yes I am very proud of him, did not think he would get this far.... I also like that he is closer to the degree !