Rick, every situation is different. Your point is well taken. The scenario you described could easily occur. But so can the opposite. A kid that I coached has been a 4 year starter at Haverford. He is team captain this year as a senior. He has an additional year of eligibility and Haverford doesn’t offer grad degrees. So this player has already entered the transfer portal for next year, acting on the advice of his HC at Haverford. And the HC is actively helping to find a school for the player to transfer to after this year. Your current HC is usually your best resource if you have a solid relationship with him. If you don’t have a good relationship everything is pretty dicey.