With all the upsets of top seeded teams who knows who is the favorite. A few years ago Fresno State won. Who woudda thunk it? In order to come to a true scientific conclusion I think you have to look at the game by game pitching match ups and how teams handle that kind of pitcher. Then everything you've calculated goes out the window if a team has to go deep into it's bullpen in the first two games. I'm just going to enjoy it. I'll root for Louisville and Vanderbilt since my son and I know kids on the teams. I wish they were in opposite brackets. They play each other today.