PGStaff posted:Alex was one of the best high school hitters in his class. We selected him for the PG All American Classic as a 2B and catcher. We thought at the time that is where he best profiled. He has always been a top guy with the bat, and he has championship caliber make up.
At LSU he continued to show his hitting ability and he improved in every phase of the game, especially on defense as a shortstop. Maybe he will end up at SS, but his value is that he can play several different positions. To me his is a right handed hitting Alex Gordon. Gordon started as an infielder.
Bregman's ceiling is one of the best hitters in the Big Leagues. At worst you have a high quality utility guy that plays regularly. While others might have more elite level tools, there is much less risk with Bregman. If the Astros would have passed on him, he wouldn't have lasted much more than a couple picks.
I'm not saying he is not a good prospect. he was projected as a top10 pick by most.
however at two Overall I think most Teams want a Talent like kris bryant or so. of course still quite a few number 2 picks never become a star but you want at least star upside usually.
the scouting reports say his Tools have about 50-55 as future value
http://m.mlb.com/news/article/...ortstop-alex-bregman
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs...-10-draft-prospects/
of course such a Player still can be good (Dustin pedroia is often mentioned) but most top 3 picks have one or more future 70s (or even 80s) in their grading Profile.
for example 2014 second pick kolek got a 70-80 future FB grade, bryant obviously has 70-80 power, 2012 number 2 buxton has future 70s all over the board (except power). of course those Players still all can fail but still it is unusual that a Player that has no future grade projected above 60 to be drafted second Overall.