We had two kids last year, one a Junior and one a Sophomore who both were first year Varsity players. Junior barely threw his first Varsity season, is now a D1 commit to a very good school. Soph barely pitched (control issues) but also had some non-throwing related injuries that cost him ABs and general playing time (he has a big bat). He committed to a high caliber D1 during his rising Junior summer and is a highly regarded pitcher.
JV asa sophomore (especially as a pitcher in my view) is not a big deal, and as others have said, you have no control over who is ahead of you in the pipeline.