My 1 cents worth since the Corona economy has reduced my ability by 50%. I will try to cover the areas that I have heard or talked to coaches about but again just my opinion because nobody knows at this point. I think of all kids the HA kids are better but there will be more in the pool than before. I think many other than Ivy's will still have an overflow of kids because of the extra year but not as many as others. Have heard some entrance levels are higher and some are lower than pre-Corona.
P5 for 2021's. The top 25% of P5 recruits will be okay because they are still the studs. These are the scholarship kids and strong instate preferred walk-ons that are getting plenty without scholarships. I do think the next 50% will be okay but may have to redshirt the first year, which is not a bad thing. Son is a Corona freshman and I think he will be a better freshman next year than he was this year with one year of school behind him, a year of lifting and working out. But as has been said if they are unrostered redshirts it is a tough "row to hoe." If not from the south, that means it will be read tough year because you are having to do everything on your own. The bottom 25% which will be walk-ons could be told sorry find somewhere else because I think even the fall groups will be so big they will not let them come to fall.
Other D1's I think fall in the same categories to some extent but the problem is there will be the bottom 25% of P5 guys and some of the middle 50% will drop down a level to compete freshman year rather than redshirt or be non-rostered. D2, D3, and NAIA will be the same way but they will have mid-major D1's drop down also.
JUCO will be different. They will recruit their tails off for the P5 guys and D1 guys probably telling them the doom and gloom stories of what this will do to their chances. All levels of baseball will be good but I think the JUCO ball will be better for several years. There will be some HS guys who were thinking draft this year that will run to JUCO to be able to be drafted next year. That will happen more often over the next several years.
For the 2021's, I would be ready when it starts this summer. I hear guys say their kids are not throwing and shut down because they aren't playing spring and maybe won't play summer. Please don't take this to the Corona arguments, there are plenty of those on other threads. But I have heard a lot of guys who run tournaments, showcases, and travel teams who think when the doors open hopefully in a few weeks in certain places they will be doing all the things and more they had planned this summer. Some of the big boys may not and the colleges may not be able to but I know several that have negotiated to get fields for tournaments and showcases in May near me. They would normally be on college campuses but will be on softball fields and the likes of private schools and such. So the 2021's for sure that are uncommitted need to be ready to go. Because I think once things open the timeline before showcases start will be very short.
Some will say that college coaches can't come but they can send other guys with video cameras, phones, stopwatches, and radar guns on their behalf. The rules will get very blurred if baseball opens up and NCAA does not release college coaches to recruit. I think some recruiting service guys and guys who have respect in the baseball community will make a lot of money real fast.
Just my thoughts.