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Reply to "College Football Playoff 2014"

Originally Posted by RJM:

The weaker SEC East are unranked teams playing unranked teams. I've always found those games to be "flip a coin for who wins" games. It's a matter of who's more inspired to play in a "who's ever heard of this bowl" game. 

Which is why I often find it misleading to put too much stock into the a lot of bowl games. It's why I think Boise often crops up and beats some good teams. They are quite motivated. I used to look (for gambling reasons) for matchups of teams that were extremely giddy to get the bowl bid vs. the team that lost a tough game late and is disappointed to be there. 90% of the time, the disappointed team just phones in their performance. Often, matchups can be misleading as well. Ole Miss was a real up-and-down team (beat Alabama, got blown out by Arkansas, but came back the next weekend to slap Miss. St. around). However, the Peach Bowl was, in reality, an 11-1 team who was at the top of the Big 12 against the SEC's 5th or 6th best team. LSU?NOtre Dame was two teams accustomed to being in a better bowl playing out their season, Auburn/Wisc the same. The only games from which you can really judge much concerning the SEC were Alabama/OSU and Georgia Tech/Miss. St. I think these games showed that the better teams from other conferences have caught the top of the SEC. Questin is: will next year's pre-season top-25 polls reflect this? At the top, probably. I expect OSU to be #1, but I also bet you Alabama will come in a not-quite-deserved #2 and the top 25 will start with no less than 9 SEC teams in the top-25 and very possibly 10. Of those, most will probably be 5-6 spots than they actually should be. Of those will be the normal over-rated Florida and you will see Georgia and Auburn ranked too high. In other words, same ole same ole. Not that I'm complaining.

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