I went back and checked in on a "high level" kid in our area who skipped HS baseball. He was always on the top travel teams and scout teams and, yes, HS baseball would have been a "step down" in talent. He "committed" early to a big D1 school. Never attended. Ended up at a top JUCO -- for a year. Then transferred to another JUCO. Then "committed" to another D1 school. Not on the spring roster. The kid is like a nomad -- always searching for the next thing. HS baseball could have been a good, stable experience for him. So IMO, take the opportunities you have today because you never know what will happen tomorrow.