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Reply to "Earned Run or Unearned Run?"

quote:
Originally posted by Smokey:
Also, is it reasonable to view the inning’s event without the error, in a perfect errorless world, to unfold as follows, therefore scoring the run as unearned?
1st batter BB on 1st base.
2nd batter SAC bunt PO at 1st base, 1st batter advances to 2nd base, one out.
3rd batter FO to LF, two outs, man on second or advance to 3rd, man on 3rd two outs.
4th batter FO to LF, three outs, 1 LOB.


In the section that I "bolded" you are assuming an action that didn't occur. You have no latitude for doing this. When checking for errorless play (as applies to scoring unearned/earned runs) then you can't assume that that play would have been made, since the similar play wasn't. You would have to assume a FC allowing R1 to advance to 2B and the BR to advance to 1B, still with no outs.
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