This is a tricky call.
I agree with ordinary effort and all the discussion related to it, but is a 9-3 really an ordinary effort play?
It doesn't happen very often.
I tend to agree with Midlo Dad's discussion, but I've held the pencil a long time on this play before making the call in the past. I think unless the first baseman drops the ball, I score a hit...
Maybe I'm tainted by girls softball where they try this all the time.
There isn't a wrong answer, however. It's your call and none of us were there, so it's up to what you think.