What a great thread!
Coach May raises great points as well as everyone else here.
You can go somewhere that guarantees 4 years of playing time. You can go somewhere else where it might be a stretch to even see the playing field for a few years. When you have to stretch to beat someone out, that will often times provide the best opportunity for growth as Coach May suggests. It will provide more pain as well and that is something to consider.
Everyone has to make these decisions for themselves. In general, the higher the risk the higher the reward. Sometimes, however, no matter how hard you try (when trying to overcome the odds) it just wasn't meant to be and you need to learn from the experience and move on.