I think Boras said it best..."98% of players drafted are released" Everyone drafted has "a chance" to get to the big leagues, but the nature of the beast is that some guys get more "shots". The following is based strictly on a common sense model, and stricly my opinion: If I am a scouting director, my job is to make good decisions when it comes to investing money into the players I think can give my club Major League Service. If I give a guy $500K or more he better show the tools I drafted him on. What will I look like if a 45th rounder (roster filler) produces better than my bonus baby? Cudos to the area scout that talked me into drafting that guy, but he will be released before "my" guy.