Daughter had to make this choice. Recruited by one top program which went again to NCAA College World Series. Most schools mid D-I and a few low D-I. D-II entered the picture when one of the coaches recruiting her to a D-I became the HC of the D-II. In the end, the prospect of helping them build a program and play everyday was more appealing so she picked the D-II. Team went 41-13 last year.
I've coached a lot of guys who have gone on to play pro ball. Almost all of them went the D-II route.