quote:How might this impact '08 HS grads? For those that don't sign an NLI early and lock in a scholarship (coaches are unlikely to cut a scholarshipped player unless there's "other" issues off the field), it might mean having to wait until summer as college coaches put their hooks in the winter transfers water to catch some good college atheletes cascading down from the over-recruited higher level programs and the resulting trickle down effect. This is kind of a one-time opportunity for the coaches before the new rules take effect. The usual process of late-signing HS seniors will face an unusually high spike of competition from mid-year transfers this year.
Roadking - I think your analysis is well thought out and I bet your predictions are correct.
As an aside, just so kids don't get completely discouraged if they have not signed yet, parents or players need not assume some kid transferring from a D1 has the upper hand over someone competing at a another D1 or a D2 or D3. There may have been a reason some kid was sitting on the bench and that does not mean he is entitled to anything at another level. I think people will realize when they get to college that getting recruited somewhere was perhaps the easier part of the equation. Finding playing time at the next level is difficult at best regardless if you have former D1 player on your resume.