@Good Knight posted:My guess is that 2020's will be asked to leave to make room for the 2021's, but I have no evidence.
Virtually every competitive D1 & D2 program over-recruits. There are exceptions but they are rare. Mostly it’s a question of how severe is the over-recruiting? That issue is even more important now that the NCAA is allowing expanded rosters and additional years of eligibility. Pick almost any top 25 program and look at their recruiting and roster history. They are all pretty similar. Every year they bring in a recruiting class that consists of 15 - 25 HS and JuCo kids. Less than half will be on the roster the following year. So those are the ones that are asked to leave to make room for the next recruiting class. But then the cycle repeats and that’s what most recruited HS players (and their parents) don’t understand. You have not “made it” when you sign your NLI. That’s been said on this board many times, but it has never been more true than now. In fact, there is a greater than 50% chance that you won’t be playing for that school 18 months after signing your NLI and making your big announcement on Twitter. And transferring will be more difficult than in the past as every roster is already full. So choose wisely - especially if you aren’t an elite level prospect.