Reply to "One Sport Athletes(?)"

infielddad10,000+ posts

What percentage of Latin/DR kids who are playing baseball, only, ever end up in a Milb Camp, off the island?

Any of us have a bias, in all likelihood. To think that predictive value comes from being a top HS player on MaxPreps is curious. If they are drafted in the first 2-3 rounds of the MLB draft, that is far more predictive and helpful because MLB is actually in the business of projecting, and even they are not anywhere close to reliable modeling.

The changes which occur in young men between ages 18-21 is pretty incredible. Standing in a Spring Training facility will tell any baseball person how different and how much better a player needs to be at every level. There is a major skill to a Milb/MLB executive looking at those guys and projecting and we see how variable that is from MLB team to MLB team.. Not sure MaxPreps or something like the Louisville Slugger pre-season projections are there for me, though.

1/25/159:10 PM

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