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Reply to "Player Pool Estimation"

The math really doesn't matter.  What matters is that a D1 coach has a need for a player's talents and they see the players talent.  If the player is a catcher that is not far better than what has already been recruited then they will pass him over.  It doesn't mean the player is not a DI catcher, there just isn't a coach seeing him as something they need in that class.

In the pool of upper level players that are capable of playing DIII to D1 baseball it is sometimes hard to separate who will succeed at the DI level.  There is a reason about 6-8 players turn over on most DI rosters.  The coaches probably saw the players on a good day or they were not able to raise the consistency of their game to really compete for playing time.  Most teams recruit a catcher in every class, four to six pitchers, and four to six position players.  Position players that are better athletes are fair game for a position change.  Better high school shortstops will go where the team needs them.  

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