In the reality picture the opening post is correct. BUT ...
There is a place for every high school starter depending on where their priorities lay. I know a kid who wasn’t an impact player at a small classification high school. But he sat the bench at a mediocre D3 for four years. Personally, I wouldn’t sacrifice quality of education to claim I played college baseball. I wouldn’t want to put in the work to sit for four years. But this kid’s father had plenty of money and a place for him in the family business.
From 13u to 17u the kid’s father left no dollar unspent getting the kid developed to mediocrity. But from 13u to 16u the dad had a good time fooling himself. He constantly told everyone how many kids the program places in D1 ball. What the father was overlooking was the program’s 17u A team placed players in D1 ball. Everything else from 9u to 16u and 17u B was about revenue generation.