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JH Said....This is the exact reason why I get frustrated when having these kinds of discussions: http://www.freep.com/article/2...d?odyssey=nav%7Chead
JH - Give it time. Mitch Albom is a good writer, but he is not a baseball expert. As more older BWAs are replaced with new BWAs I think you'll see the kind of stats you are advocating get their day in court. You of all people should know that nothing changes quickly in this game.
Here is a suggestion, not to be critical of anything or discredit anything, build and improve the model accuracy and state all the assumption and limitation and use KISS whenever possible. Many years ago, someone predicted a huge hurricane, the town evacuated, then nothing came, just huge downpour. Next time, same prediction, huge hurricane, no one move, and the huge hurricane did come.