adbono posted:22and25 posted:ReluctantO'sFan posted:
Moral of the story? What a kid does at 13 means nothing and often isn’t at all projectable.
My thought here is although it sounds good in spirit - it is factually inaccurate.
Yes there are outliers and everyone will have a story to tell about "this one kid in our area" but the truth is most kids who are the studs at 12u and 13u are also the studs at 17u. The order will switch around and there will certainly be additions and subtractions to the list but as a statement "often isn't at all projectable" is just incorrect.
I will agree the picture isn't as clear as it will be at 15u but the data is out there. PG has several posts from years back speaking to this and in whatever his exact words were the data was clear.