Reply to "Select Teams"

RJMHSBaseballWeb member since 2007

Goosegg posted:
I think the funnel analogy (we call it climbing the pyramid) captures the essense of what many are saying. The numbers of players in each age group drops as the players age and not too many new kids enter the sport as they get older.
Within the narrowing funnel, however, player's abilities/potential aren't fixed in relation to one another. Those abilities/potential change organically (i.e., growth [over which there is no control] and inorganically (i.e., desire to play + effort [over which there is great control]).
Except for the rarest (think Bryce Harper), I think any prediction of which 13 yr old staying in the funnel will be the best is pure speculation.

Before Harper I recollect PG (the poster, Jerry Ford) saying he had only seen two 13yos he considered MLB prospects, Delmon Young and Prince Fielder.

2/22/2012:27 PM

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