Considering that elite teams like Vandy have most of their recruiting class set by the summer after their HS sophomore year, the odds of him getting there are slim. Not knocking the kid, just stating facts. My son was really young for his class.....and was 5'2 when he started his freshman year of HS and probably around 100#. He was maybe 5'9, 140 when he committed after his junior year (but throwing 90 regularly). Even with a 90 mph fastball no "elite team" was going to take a 5'9, 140 pound kid. By the time he graduated he was 6' and 165. He was 180 by the time he threw his first pitch in the Spring of his freshman year of college and was hitting 92. Who knows what would have happened if we had waited a year to enroll him in school, 6', 160 looks a lot better to a coach than 5'9, 140 lol
When it comes to recruiting.....there's D1, then there is "D1+" which would include schools like Vandy, Stanford, the top SEC's, etc, etc. They really should almost be considered two different levels when you are looking at recruiting. Sure, sometimes top kid at a lower level D1 could possibly have been "missed" by the big boys......or maybe he just matured too late. It also happens that a kid commits to one of the elite teams as a soph....based on "projection"...and he doesn't end up fitting their needs by the time he is ready to enroll....so he ends up not going. It happens....but not that often. The "D1+" teams don't miss many, the guys recruiting for them get it right pretty often