@TXdad2019 posted:It may be different in other parts of the country. In the South, if you look at rosters, alot of D1's already pull from JUCO. JUCO in the south is very strong. the elite 2021 will still find d1's, but the rest are going to find themselves struggling. Mine is a D1 bounce back. His D1 wasn't a good fit and went JUCO so he didn't have to sit out a year. Most of the incoming Freshmen from HS 2020 will be redshirted this year due the amount of talent at JUCO level this year. The returning JUCO kids (COVID Freshmen) will most likely leave this year, but will still be bottled up at JUCO level. I'm hearing MLB draft will never go back to 40 rounds and will be around 20 rounds for now on. It's going to be tough in the future baseball wise.
A few years ago I read 84% of American MLBers come from the first ten rounds of the draft. Another 10% come from rounds 11-20. If 94% of MLBers come from the top twenty rounds why have rounds 21-40?
Chances are players drafted after round twenty are late blooming pitchers. These players would be better off signing as free agents with an organization they’re more likely to rise to the majors than be stuck in one organization until released.