Whether or not you need PG kind of comes down to who you play for in the summer (and PG can open doors to invitations). My kid needed PG, PBR and camps. He didn't play for a power team and coaches weren't randomly watching our games. Without them, he likely wouldn't have been "discovered" . Even in hs, he played behind two day one draft picks so he committed before he really ever got innings in high school. For a lot of kids, these organizations are the best way to be seen. We have veered off track, but I agree that they usually get it pretty right, they just can't see a kid's drive or commitment from a showcase. Kids leave and transfer for a multitude of reasons and everyone is just making their best guess as to whether or not their kid has staying power at the school they initially pick.