Reply to "When discussing Draft....What is Leverage"

Go44dad posted:
The best leverage is to be really, really good. Even better, be John Elway.

But you got the gist.

I agree. Everything being equal a hs guy has more leverage than college jr and especially college senior because they have something to go back to but part of why seniors have less leverage is selection bias, i.e. most seniors are seniors because they weren't drafted top5 rounds and chose getting a degree over getting 10k in the 19th round.

If you are really good you can still get paid as a senior (see mark appel who didn't sign and went first overall for a like 8m as a senior) but most seniors simply aren't that good.

Being younger helps but if you are a 20th round talent you don't have much leverage as a HS kid either.

3/21/2012:52 PM

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