BOF,
I believe they update the results on the draw sheets if I remember correctly. Westlake has a small chance behind Graham but Montgomery and Bauer of Hart are a combined 18-1 and I don't think anyone else is going to see the mound unless there's a blowout or a game goes well into extra innings. Bauer and Montgomery were going 7 innings back in early March.
BTW, I believe the Div 1 games are on Thursday.
BOF: Have seen and played both teams more than once. Either can do it or lose it on any given day. The Redondo pitcher throws well - not hard, but noone seems to hit him. He has something going for him that just keeps the hitters rolling over and popping out, flying out, etc. He keeps it low, etc. He also can throw forever, he's the energizer bunny on the mound. I do agree however that RedEV will take them (see my prior prediction).
no11,
I don't think Lakewood will go far. They were 9-10 outside of league and the Moore league as a whole was pretty weak this season.
I don't think Lakewood will go far. They were 9-10 outside of league and the Moore league as a whole was pretty weak this season.
CADad: Your right and your right. Two times in a day not bad! (they have updated the wildcard games this morning)
BOF,
That means I've used up my quota for the rest of the year.
That means I've used up my quota for the rest of the year.
dad; well, in my estimation, Lakewood will likely make it to face either Simi or Hart. And, although both are very strong, I think Lakewood may just barely beat either of them. That should end with them going against Los Al, and again, either team could win, which was why I said Lakewood or Los Al against OLu. Just MHO. But, hey, I am occasionally wrong (not often, but occasionally) - JUST KIDDING.
There's no team I see as a clear favorite. I think Los Al is probably good but over rated also as they played in a weak league this season and I didn't see that they played very many strong teams outside of league. At this point I might even take Hart.
Looking at the draw a little closer I'd say several teams could win the top quarter. Los Al might be a slight favorite but Royal, Capo and others have a shot. The second quarter I might even give the advantage to Simi or Valencia. The third quarter is full of good teams but I'd give a slight advantage to Hart. The bottom quarter I think will come down to TO vs. Lutheran and Lutheran would have Cole going in that game so I'd give them a slight advantage.
Looking at the draw a little closer I'd say several teams could win the top quarter. Los Al might be a slight favorite but Royal, Capo and others have a shot. The second quarter I might even give the advantage to Simi or Valencia. The third quarter is full of good teams but I'd give a slight advantage to Hart. The bottom quarter I think will come down to TO vs. Lutheran and Lutheran would have Cole going in that game so I'd give them a slight advantage.
quote:Originally posted by CADad:
At this point I might even take Hart.
Unless of course Westlake beats them. Remember your quota is used up.
From what I can tell there is no really dominant team that will fly through their bracket. Should be interesting.
I am going to be close to Simi this afternoon so I am going to stop by and watch a couple of innings just to see how both teams look.
BOF,
Could be. I'm going to start working on my explanations for being wrong that I'll post tomorrow before I go on to confidently post my updated predictions for the next round.
Could be. I'm going to start working on my explanations for being wrong that I'll post tomorrow before I go on to confidently post my updated predictions for the next round.
TO and Simi won. Royal lost a close one. Westlake was shut down by Hart. No big surprises from the Marmonte league teams. I heard that people were surprised that Royal's coach pulled their starter after 5 innings of 1 hit (a home run), no walk pitching.
After Semifinals:
Marmonte 6-3
Sunset 2-3*
Ivy 1-3*
Moore 5-3*
South Coast 2-3*
Trinity 5-3*
Mtn. View 3-3*
Century 2-3*
Foothill 4-3*
Inland Valley 1-3*
* = eliminated
After Semifinals:
Marmonte 6-3
Sunset 2-3*
Ivy 1-3*
Moore 5-3*
South Coast 2-3*
Trinity 5-3*
Mtn. View 3-3*
Century 2-3*
Foothill 4-3*
Inland Valley 1-3*
* = eliminated
Moore League went 2 and 2
Poly lost to Los Alamitos 2 to 0. Two unearned runs.
Milikan lost to TO 6 to 2. TO scored 5 in the 1st. Millikan left 12 on base
Lakewood beat Tustin easily 10 to 2
Wilson beat Edison 7 to 3
Poly lost to Los Alamitos 2 to 0. Two unearned runs.
Milikan lost to TO 6 to 2. TO scored 5 in the 1st. Millikan left 12 on base
Lakewood beat Tustin easily 10 to 2
Wilson beat Edison 7 to 3
CADad:
Watched the first 3 innings of the Simi game. The Vista Del Lago pitcher looked pretty good. Lefty 81-83, max 84 with a nice breaking pitch. Simi pitcher was 78-80, max 81 a little wild but did OK. VDL was certainly a better pitcher than Simi but the Simi bats carried them through.
I am going to catch a few innings of the St Bonnie game on my way home this evening.
You were right again so you are over quota.
Watched the first 3 innings of the Simi game. The Vista Del Lago pitcher looked pretty good. Lefty 81-83, max 84 with a nice breaking pitch. Simi pitcher was 78-80, max 81 a little wild but did OK. VDL was certainly a better pitcher than Simi but the Simi bats carried them through.
I am going to catch a few innings of the St Bonnie game on my way home this evening.
You were right again so you are over quota.
BOF,
That's about where I thought the Simi pitcher was, although I haven't seen him throw in person this year. Simi will probably go with Sandler or Thiel in their next game. Sandler is a 84-85 type on a Stalker I believe, although I've never seen any readings so I could be pretty far off. I think he's been at the same velocity for a couple years now. I don't know what Thiel throws.
Simi is going to be just plain nasty next year with many of their better hitters returning and they should have much better pitching with Sandler, Jones and Meyer. Royal will probably have the best pitching with Berglund and Buckel returning. TO will probably drop off a bit but still be decent with Thomson anchoring the staff. He's a solid pitcher but he was an early maturer and it remains to be seen if he's going to pick up much velocity by next season. Westlake is losing some good seniors but still has some good hitters among the underclassmen. I have to wonder about their chemistry next year after the way their coach cut them down in the papers for losing to a better Hart team. Moorpark has a couple talented pitchers along with decent pitching depth but I don't know if they'll get the work they need between now and the end of next season to be the aces that they'll have to develop into for Moorpark to make the playoffs given a probable lack of hitting. There's a chance the coach will give the work to the softer throwers who will do OK but don't have much chance of developing into aces, or that he'll make the mistake of trying to make one of the harder throwers into a closer. That's just a way to get less innings out of one of your best pitchers at the HS level. Newbury Park is losing several talented hitters. Agoura is going to have a strong hitting team and could win quite a few games despite not having that much pitching once again, although they'll be returning a couple pitchers so it should be improved somewhat. They also seemed to have some players at the JV level who were clearly better than some of the varsity players including a lefty pitcher. Calabasas will probably stay about at the level they were this past season.
Just some very premature speculation and things will begin to sort themselves out during VIBL, scout ball and winter VIBL.
That's about where I thought the Simi pitcher was, although I haven't seen him throw in person this year. Simi will probably go with Sandler or Thiel in their next game. Sandler is a 84-85 type on a Stalker I believe, although I've never seen any readings so I could be pretty far off. I think he's been at the same velocity for a couple years now. I don't know what Thiel throws.
Simi is going to be just plain nasty next year with many of their better hitters returning and they should have much better pitching with Sandler, Jones and Meyer. Royal will probably have the best pitching with Berglund and Buckel returning. TO will probably drop off a bit but still be decent with Thomson anchoring the staff. He's a solid pitcher but he was an early maturer and it remains to be seen if he's going to pick up much velocity by next season. Westlake is losing some good seniors but still has some good hitters among the underclassmen. I have to wonder about their chemistry next year after the way their coach cut them down in the papers for losing to a better Hart team. Moorpark has a couple talented pitchers along with decent pitching depth but I don't know if they'll get the work they need between now and the end of next season to be the aces that they'll have to develop into for Moorpark to make the playoffs given a probable lack of hitting. There's a chance the coach will give the work to the softer throwers who will do OK but don't have much chance of developing into aces, or that he'll make the mistake of trying to make one of the harder throwers into a closer. That's just a way to get less innings out of one of your best pitchers at the HS level. Newbury Park is losing several talented hitters. Agoura is going to have a strong hitting team and could win quite a few games despite not having that much pitching once again, although they'll be returning a couple pitchers so it should be improved somewhat. They also seemed to have some players at the JV level who were clearly better than some of the varsity players including a lefty pitcher. Calabasas will probably stay about at the level they were this past season.
Just some very premature speculation and things will begin to sort themselves out during VIBL, scout ball and winter VIBL.
1st round:
CADad 13-3
MaxPreps Rankings 14-2
no11 15-1
2nd round:
Los Al (4) over Canyon (80)
Capo (8) over Mater Dei (2)
Valencia (44) over Lakewood (43)
Simi (11) over King (22)
Hart (12) over Canyon Springs (112)
Wilson (24) over Tesoro (14)
TO (5) over Norco (17)
Lutheran (1) over El Modena (83)
The numbers in parentheses are the MaxPreps CIF SS rankings which are based on a computer model. Rankings like that can't take into account pitching matchups for an individual game of course but it looks like I'm predicting upsets with Capo and Wilson and taking Valencia in a tossup with Lakewood. These rankings were done before the first playoff game.
For some of those from the local area here are some MaxPreps CIF SS rankings of interest:
Crespi (3)
NP (45)
Alemany (102)
Ventura (160)
CADad 13-3
MaxPreps Rankings 14-2
no11 15-1
2nd round:
Los Al (4) over Canyon (80)
Capo (8) over Mater Dei (2)
Valencia (44) over Lakewood (43)
Simi (11) over King (22)
Hart (12) over Canyon Springs (112)
Wilson (24) over Tesoro (14)
TO (5) over Norco (17)
Lutheran (1) over El Modena (83)
The numbers in parentheses are the MaxPreps CIF SS rankings which are based on a computer model. Rankings like that can't take into account pitching matchups for an individual game of course but it looks like I'm predicting upsets with Capo and Wilson and taking Valencia in a tossup with Lakewood. These rankings were done before the first playoff game.
For some of those from the local area here are some MaxPreps CIF SS rankings of interest:
Crespi (3)
NP (45)
Alemany (102)
Ventura (160)
I might have guessed well enough through the first round, but DI only. Now the rubber is starting to meet the road.
Here's my 2nd round guesses.
DI: LosAl, Mater Dei (by a squeeker - don't know, could also go to Capo. Matzek will pitch for Capo, not sure about MD - Northcraft?), Lakewood, Simi, Hart, Wilson, TO, OLu.
DII: Temecula, Oxnard, Upland, Trabuco, VM, Cypress, El Toro, West
DIII: Crespi, Don Lugo, Elsinore, Laguna Hills, Cal, QH, Paloma V., ND
DIV: Norte Vista, Torrance, Kaiser, Savanna, St. Bone, DR, Cath City, Patriot.
Let's see if I can do as equally poor with these guesses as I did with my last ones.
Here's my 2nd round guesses.
DI: LosAl, Mater Dei (by a squeeker - don't know, could also go to Capo. Matzek will pitch for Capo, not sure about MD - Northcraft?), Lakewood, Simi, Hart, Wilson, TO, OLu.
DII: Temecula, Oxnard, Upland, Trabuco, VM, Cypress, El Toro, West
DIII: Crespi, Don Lugo, Elsinore, Laguna Hills, Cal, QH, Paloma V., ND
DIV: Norte Vista, Torrance, Kaiser, Savanna, St. Bone, DR, Cath City, Patriot.
Let's see if I can do as equally poor with these guesses as I did with my last ones.
Los Al
Mater Dei
Valencia
Simi
Hart
Wilson
Norco
Lutheran
And my predictions for the quarterfinals:
Mater Dei
Simi
Hart
Lutheran
Mater Dei
Valencia
Simi
Hart
Wilson
Norco
Lutheran
And my predictions for the quarterfinals:
Mater Dei
Simi
Hart
Lutheran
Well, I just caught some of the early results posted on another site, and I'm done! It seems to be a wild playoff for certain.
Simi d. Valencia
Crazy. Mater Dei beat Los Al, Norco beat OLu, and El Toro beat West. Wow.
That's why they play the games, and Wilson beat Hart.
Semi-final predictions:
Simi over Mater Dei (Just because I know some of the players)
Wilson over Norco (Just a guess)
Semi-final predictions:
Simi over Mater Dei (Just because I know some of the players)
Wilson over Norco (Just a guess)