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Well, it looks like that class I took has driven me temporarily insane, or at least more insane than usual. I’m in the process of trying to use several different runs estimators that are currently used in conjunction with ML teams to see how well they work on HS teams. I can already hear the “sample size is too small” guys screaming and hollering, but this time they’re gonna have to take a deep breath.

 

Since 1871, there have been 2,745 team seasons. I.e., a team had a W/L record for a season, for any of the 139 Major League teams. As you can see from the attachment, I’ve been able to come up with just a few more team-seasons than that. It’s really neat how much information is out there that I’d never heard of before or in most cases just wasn’t aware of. This might just be another whacko useless thing to do, but then again, its something no one has ever tried to do before, so ya never know!

 

Well, I got all I could find. Don’t blame me if all of the teams in your state didn’t turn in the result of every game. That isn’t in my control. Right now about all I can say is, the numbers seem to be reasonable. There are some screwy looking things, but again, right now there isn’t a lot under my control, but I will double check some of the really strange looking things. One is why Fl should have so few teams compared to Ca and Tx.

 

Before trying to do much more, I'll have to eliminate some of the "worst" garbage. The easiest way to do that is to get rid of the team-seasons common sense says are pretty bad. The 1st page of the attachment show all the data, the 2nd page only shows data where a team has played at least one game. The 3rd page reflects only teams that have played at least 10 games. I’ll prolly leave it at 10 games because to go much more than that might cut out teams that have a lot of weather problems.

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Here's some info, just for S&G. The estca.pdf is just Ca schools. I only looked at teams that had played at least 20 games. The estcountry.pdf looked at all the teams in the country that played more than 20 games. I also only used the years 2013 and 2014.

 

Just to keep things in some kind of perspective, I sorted them by runs per game because I wanted to see who the most potent offenses were.

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