quote:
Originally posted by Out in LF:
Why don't you go a little further, investigate how many D1, D2, D3, NAIA and JUCO players actually have success and make it to the bigs. It may open your eyes to what programs actually spend the time teaching the great game from the ones that attract talent just by name only.
This is an interesting topic, and I had a little time today, so I did a little research.
First, as a measure of MLB success (probably too stringent a measure), I looked at players who sometime in the last 25 years of HoF voting received at least 20% of the vote, whether they were drafted or signed as an amateur free agent, and in each case whether they signed out of high school or college, and if out of college, whether they played at a Division I school (or what would have been considered "Division I" - the old "University Divsion").
There were 70 such players, and the list basically encompasses every recent HoF inductee, and just about every non-inductee about whom fans still clamor for induction or find their way onto lists of "The Best Players Not in the Hall of Fame." Half of those players were drafted, and half were signed as amateur free agents, many before the draft as we know it was instituted, and some - as foreigners - who still today would not be subject to the draft.
14 of those 70 (Jack Morris (in the 5th round), Jeff Bagwell (4th), Barry Larkin (1st), Andre Dawson (11th), Mark McGwire (1st), Tony Gwynn (3rd), Steve Garvey (1st), Paul Molitor (1st), Ozzie Smith (4th), Dave Winfield (1st), Kirby Puckett (1st), Carlton Fisk (1st), Mike Schmidt (2nd), and Reggie Jackson (1st)) were drafted out of college, in rounds ranging from the 1st (8) to the 11th (average round drafted: 2.6). All but onewent to Division I schools (Ozzie Smith went to Cal State Polytechnic, a Division II school), but by no means were they all powerhouse Division I programs or conferences.
Another 6 were signed as amateur free agents but were signed out of colleges (Jim Kaat, Tom Seaver, Jim Bunning, Harvey Kuehn, Carl Yastrzemski, and Lew Burdette). All of these players attended a Division I school except one - Jim Kaat attended Hope College in Michigan, a Division III program!
Interestingly, 21 players of the 70 were drafted and signed out of HS, and there was far more variation in draft position (1st - 3: Rice, Murphy, Yount; 2nd - 5: Lee Smith, Trammell, Ripken, Brett, Bench; 3rd - 4: Blyleven, Eckersley, Murray, Gary Carter; 4th - 1: Rickey Henderson; 5th - 1: Tim Raines; 7th - 1: Wade Boggs; 9th - 2: Fred McGriff, Goose Gossage; 12th - 1: Nolan Ryan; 14th - 1: Dave Parker; 19th - 1: Don Mattingly; 20th - 1: Ryne Sandberg), with the average draft position of HS players on this list being 5.9. The average draft position of all drafted players, college and HS, was 4.6. Even at this thinnest and most stringent measurement of MLB "success," this speaks to how much development happens
after a player is drafted; it isn't just the studs at the big programs, or just the first and second rounders.
While all this is interesting, it really is a thin slice. There are some other ways to look at what programs are sending a lot of players to the Majors.
Baseball-Reference.com has
a page that lists all schools by state, with the number of MLB players produced in parentheses. You can compare that to
a sortable list of schools by division and come pretty close to what Out in LF was suggesting.
This is by no means exhastive, but I looked for Division II and Divsion III schools that had produced at least 5 MLB players, and the list is pretty long - at least 32 Division II schools from at least 19 different states, and at least 38 Division II schools from at least 18 different states (this is by no means exhaustive, and I certainly will have made a few errors in categorization):
AL: University of North Alabama (II)
AZ: Grand Canyon University (II)
CA: Azusa Pacific (II), Occidental (III), University of La Verne (III), Whittier (III), Chapman University (III)
CT: University of New Haven (II)
FL: Florida Southern (II), Rollins College (II), University of Tampa (II), St. Leo (II)
GA: Ogelthorpe University (III)
ID: Lewis-Clark State College (NAIA)
IL: Lewis University (II), Illinois Wesleyan (III), Milliken University (III), University of Chicago (III)
IN: Wabash (III)
KS: Washburn University of Topeka (II)
MA: Tufts (III), Amherst (III), Williams (III), Springfield (III)
MD: Washington College (II), Mt. St. Mary's College (II)
MO: Washington University (III), Truman State (II)
MN: St. Cloud University (II), University of St. Thomas (III)
MS: Mississippi College (III), Delta State University (II)
NC: Catawba (II), Lenoir-Rhyne (II), Guilford College (III)
NH: St. Anselm (II)
NJ: Montclair (III)
NY: Le Moyne College (II) Concordia (II), NYU (III), St. Lawrence (III)
OH: Case Western (III), Ohio Wesleyan (III)
OK: Southeastern Oklahoma State (II), East Central Oklahoma (II)
PA: Indiana University of Pennsylvannia (II), Mansfield University of Pennsylvannia (II), West Chester University of Pennsylvannia (II), Albright (III), Gettysburg College (III), Grove City College (III), Juniata (III), Lebanon Valley College (III), Swarthmore (III), Washington & Jefferson College (III)
SC: Erskine College (II), University of South Carolina-Aiken (II)
TN: Union University (II), Maryville College (III), Rhodes College (III)
TX: Dallas Baptist University (II), St. Edwards University (II), St. Mary's University (II), Southwestern University (III), Trinity University (III)
VA: Washington & Lee (III)
WI: Beloit (III), University of Wisconsin-La Crosse (III), University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh (III)
There are lots of schools with 4 or 3 MLB alums, and there is nothing magical about the cut-off I used of 5 MLB players produced. I also made no attempt to look at how recently those schools were producing MLB alums, and it might be as useful (or more) to know which of these schools was producing the most
draft picks. I don't have time to do that, and am not really sure how to go about figuring it out anyway, but I'd bet the info is out there somewhere.
I did find
this interesting article in The Hardball Times, entitled "How Good is NCAA Division II?" It tries to break it down statistically. The basic point is that the best Division II squads could compete favorably with the average Divison I teams. It's more in-depth than that, but that's the main thrust of it.
Interesting. To me, at least. :-)