I'm listening to a lot of draft podcasts and I'm hearing all the time how teams should avoid high school pitchers because they (especially the hard throwing ones) are a huge risk.
It seems that talk increases the closer the draft comes. 3 months ago groome was the consensus number 1 and now mock drafts have him as low as 5. It also seems like bats have risen in Stock, some now talk about Lewis first overall.
But why are hard throwing HS pitchers such a risk? Wouldn't it be better for minor league teams to protect the young pitchers rather than having them go through three years abuse in college ball?
Or is it just natural selection I. E. Testing whether the arm can take abuse meaning who made it through the college ball abuse is a genetically stronger arm?