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Analysis has shown that when a given hitter puts the ball in play they get hits about the same percentage of the time no matter what the count (there are some small differences). With two strikes on them a hitter suddenly has the option of striking out and their batting average with two strikes drops drastically even though they get hits just about as often if they put the ball in play.

In addition players tend to hit the ball harder with less than two strikes.

Now we have to wonder if by continuously pitching around Bonds pitchers aren't "artificially" raising his batting average and his home runs per at bat because he so seldom has to worry about striking out.

Of course he'd hit more home runs and get more hits if they pitched to him but his home runs per at bat and batting average would almost certainly drop.
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My first thought is that it shouldn’t help his average.

However after thinking just a little more, I believe you are on to something especially if your other assumptions are valid.

If a pitcher pitches around him and finds himself 2-0 or 3-0 which happens frequently or even 3-1., Bonds is free to hit the next pitch and regardless of the result, the pitcher will very seldom continue to challenge him like they would most hitters. Therefore Bonds would suffer less strike outs.

A similar likely scenario is that a pitcher throws a strike. Bonds may hit it or may not but it would not be uncommon for the pitcher to be more careful to Bonds and throw the next pitches further from the strike zone than they would other players. This also provided Bonds a chance to get a hit with more impunity than other players in suffering a strikeout.

Either scenario over the course of a season, could result in validating your hypothesis.
Last edited by SBK
Percentages work against having a better bqtting average based upon the circumstances of Bonds UBB's, IBB's and BB's.

The fewer AB's the more the percentages work to increase or decrease the batting average.

The greater number AB's the less the perectages will fluctuate. The less AB's (more BB's) or NTAB's the greater the fluctuation.

In fact, as a consequence of so many BB's Bonds AB's work against him and his margin for error in an AB is much less than a player who gets to hit with little to no BB's.
Interesting topic. Speaking of Bonds, his Dad held the all time single season strikeout record (189)for about 35 years until this year when Dunn broke it. During the year that Bobby Bonds set the K record, he was the leadoff hitter and hit .302 for the season, which is amazing considering the 189 K's. When he put the ball in play that year he hit .422. He also had 200 hits for the season which considering the K's is amazing too.

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