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Originally posted by infielddad:
Stats,
I think you and I will eventually agree on some things when it comes to the impact of the bats.
I think you’ll find we already do, once we pare off all the hyperbole and guessing.
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I happen to fully agree with 3FG on the impact of the Demarini CF4 as it relates to HS baseball this Spring.
I agree with him too because I saw it as the preferred bat by a majority of hitters I saw walk to the plate. I admit I’ve only seen about 40 games this season so my experience can’t be considered as what happened across the board, but I suspect from what others have said, that my experience is fairly “normal”.
As for how potent the C4 was compared to straight BBCOR, that’s something that can only be answered by those guys with the slide rules. One reason the C4 was waived, was that it met the ABI standard. IOW, they felt it couldn’t be tampered with to make it hotter. So, it met the BESR standard and couldn’t be rolled or whatever to make it exceed the standard.
So what your left with is a bat that will perform better than a BBCOR bat, but its lot like one bat is a rock and the other a rocket launcher! The difference is only the difference in the two standards. The BESR standard wasn’t a bad one as far as performance went, its that once you got outside the parameters of the test, all bets were off. If a BESR bat can’t improve, I doubt they really are all that much better than BBCOR.
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I didn't watch a huge number of HS games. The ones I did were top teams with very good players.
Here’s the trick with HS that skews everyone’s perception. Even the very best teams have a few players that are at best “average”. But who leaves an impression on an observer? The 3 kids who went 2 for 12 with 4 K’s, or the 2 who were 6-8 with Xbhits, RBI’s, and drove the pitchers nuts on the bases?
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Honestly after watching upwards of 35 or so college games, I was amazed at the first HS game. I had to stand by the on deck circle to see what was being swung because it was not at all like college bats/games. It was the CF4.
The CF4 results were far different than BBCOR. HR's hit..long ones, against good pitching by top CCS teams. The CF4 had a different sound and the ball off the bat was much faster and on a very consistent basis. To be honest, the games where both teams were using the CF4 seemed very similar to BESR baseball of 2010.
As I said, the C4 isn’t a BBCOR bat, it’s a BESR bat, so that should explain why it looked like 2010. And I won’t try to say BBCOR bats are comparable. However, I will reiterate that the difference is only the difference in the standard.
As for long HRs hit against good pitching, that’s exactly what I’d expect from a BESR bat. Good HS pitchers typically throw harder than the 80MPH used in the test, the bat is going to perform better. That’s a reason why BBCOR is a better standard. It doesn’t use exit speed to make the judgment.
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If I were a college coach scouting a HS game and watched hitters using the CF4, I would be wary of using that to project to BBCOR in college.
Pardon me for saying it this way, but that’s kinda silly. For the last 15 years college coaches have been looking at kids using everything from titanium to carbon fiber and they managed to do ok. College recruiters and scouts may not be the greatest judges of talent in the world, but they certainly aren’t fools. They know a kid hitting line drives in the gap is gonna be doing it with a wood, non-wood, or BBCOR bat.
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In contrast, and to your point, at the college level this year, I think BBCOR does change the game, and is especially challenging infielders. Maybe it is my imagination, but the number of infield slow roller singles with BBCOR seems quite reminiscent of Texas league hits off the fist with BESR, in terms of numbers.
More importantly, balls hit with BBCOR are slower so infielders can get to more balls, but they need much more range and arm strength. When they get to the ball they are throwing from very different places and they are on the move. To my eye, there certainly is an increased emphasis on speed/quickness/reactions and arm strength. In 2010, many balls hit with BESR were though the infield. In 2011, with BBCOR, they can be fielded, but the position on the diamond put some real challenges on position players.
Even routine but not hard hit ground balls to short end up being very close plays because the ball does not get there as fast.
I don’t know about that. In theory it makes sense, but I don’t know how anyone would prove it.
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Finally, I think the new bats do expose more in a swing. In February, before the season, I didn't think this would be true. 35 games changed my views. Some hitters get exposed.
I suppose it depends on what “exposed” means. All players have swing flaws, so I’m assuming what you’re saying is, it’ll be easier to see those flaws with BBCOR. Well, whether or not that’s true, I’m all for skill being the main determiner of hitting success.
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Bottom line, I think HS games where the CF4 was used by good teams are very little changed from 2010.
College...I do believe some BBCOR bats have made the game tougher to play for hitters and position players, especially middle infielders. Current stadiums/fences are too big for most hitters with some BBCOR and there are a lot of long fly balls...outs. Teams played more small ball and there are more infield hits, to my eye either in the form of slow rollers off the cap that could not be fielded or were fielded in positions where a throw with adequate velocity could not be made.
One scouting report of a college series showed 3 weekend game with less than 10 total runs scored, a shutout in each game and, if I remember right, something like 27 sacrifice bunts in those games.
I don't remember that in 2010 at the college level.
Because you don’t remember something, don’t assume it didn’t happen. LOL!
Seriously though, as I said above, I really don’t care! My son was a HS pitcher when the Titanium bats were in use, and a drop 5 could be swung, and I absolutely hated it because the game was skewed toward the hitter far too much IMO. I got to see BESR become the standard, and to me it was a Godsend for his V career, but by the time he got to college, 500’ HRs in BP were not unusual because by then the new materials were getting better and better.
So while some folks whined and worried about safety, I never did. I just wanted to see offense back on a fairly even par with defense(pitching). BBCOR looks like its gonna go a long way toward doing that, I couldn’t be happier! I just don’t want someone who has the $$$, to be able to buy a significant improvement in his game. In fact, I’ve watched a few kids pick up a $40 BBCOR bat and find out it performs just as good as one that costs $300, and I get a kick out of the angst that brings.