quote:
Originally posted by SBK:
Using the argument that you may as well bunt because the hitter's batting average with two strikes is low misses a lot of productive results that could happen by not bunting and still without the hitter getting a hit.
Some of which are, a walk, a hbp, a fly that the runner can advance on, an error, a play that results in the hitter getting out but the runner advancing, a passed ball, a wild pitch, catcher's interference and I'm sure I'm missing some.
Many of these result in both runners being safe and which could lead to a big inning that may not happen playing small ball
All those totaled still don't have a greater chance of happening than a fair bunt. Most of the time we bunt with 2 strikes it's a sac situation where the batter hasn't succeeded yet. Normally it 0-2 or maybe 1-2. If it gets to 2-2, 3-2 the thoughts change. So for the sake of my 2 strike strategy:
Walk - probably not bunting if it's 3and2, or even 2 and 2, so a walk isn't too likely
HBP - pitchers shouldn't hit a kid 0-2. Could happen, but not likely at this level.
Fly ball- at 0-2 he shouldn't get a pitch he can really drive.
Error - could happen
Runner advancing on out - Could happen with a ground ball to the right side. If they will work him away with 2 strikes it's possible.
PB, WP, CI - all possible, but not very likely at this level.
I still say the percentages are our favor with an 0-2 or 1-2 count. Particularly when the other coach assumes it won't happen and backs everybody up. Then we really might get lucky.