Standings as of May 9 are as follows:
1. Cosby 9-0
2. Manchester 7-3 (has tie-breaker on James River)
3. James River 7-3
4. L.C. Bird 5-5
5. Clover Hill 3-6
6. Monacan 2-8
7. Midlothian 1-9
Only the top 4 teams make the district playoffs. Barring a collapse of 1969 Cubs/2007 Mets proportions, Cosby will finish first and take the automatic berth in the regional tourney. After that, it's not certain, but it's getting pretty clear.
I looked ahead at next week's schedules to see who plays whom to close out the regular season.
Clover Hill has a non-district game Monday against Freeman and then three district games against Midlothian, Bird and Cosby on Tues/Thurs/Fri. With all due respect to Clover Hill, no one has enough pitching to cover three games and still have something left worthy of going toe-to-toe with Cosby. Meaning, Clover Hill is toast, so the 4 playoff teams are pretty much set, it's just a question of in what order.
Next week, Manchester plays Cosby and James River. James River plays Bird and Manchester. Bird plays James River and Clover Hill. So the seedings are all up in the air, except that Bird will have a tough time getting out of the # 4 seed, since that would require it to win both games and then also have one of JR or Manchester lose both of theirs just to create a tie.
So, it looks pretty certain that Cosby will play Bird and Manchester will play JR in the opening round on Tuesday, May 20.
If Cosby beats Bird in the tourney opener, then the winner of the James River-Manchester game would go to regionals even if that winner were to lose to Cosby in the district championship game.
The # 2 team will play Hanover from the Capital District. Cosby will draw the Capital's # 2 team which will depend on the outcome of that district's tournament. Lee-Davis and Henrico are your best bets.
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