High school baseball.
You're team is facing a junkballer who doesn't give very many free passes and has your better hitters off-balance. Not unusual. Your 3-batter (.400 B.A.; HR @ 25 at-bats) is up with two outs and bases empty. He's a very good bunter and basestealer. The 3B is behind the baseline.
Against a slower thrower like the pitcher he's facing, your 3-batter can drag a bunt towards third on about 60% of the strikes he sees (he seldom bunts short or back to the pitcher) and with the 3B back, he can reach first base safely virtually every one of those times.
This is a no-brainer. You need a two-out runner in scoring position. He's 60% to reach first base, and 90% to be standing on second within the first or second pitch to the next batter.
But very few coaches will have their 3-batter bunt in this situation.
I'm curious whether that's true in Japanese HS baseball.
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