I was recently talking to someone who is very familiar with one of the Top 20 D2 schools in the entire country as well as one of the Top 20 Juco programs in the country. And, I asked him: Which is the more talented team? If they played each other right now, who wins?
Without hesitation, he said: Let's be fair, the Juco has 19 and 20 year olds and the D2 has players who are 21, 22 and some of them are 23. The Juco has some of the best young talent you can find in their area. They might not lose 5 games this year. But, the D2 has men on their roster.
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To me, this says it all about HS kids going into "big" four year baseball programs. Unless you are an uber-talented 19 year old, the odds of you playing a lot at a 4-year winning baseball program at the D1 or D2 level, as a freshman, are not good.
You're better off going Juco, D3, or a lower tier D1 or D2, if you want to play as a freshman, or, have a chance to play - again, if you are not one of the Top 10%.
Agree or disagree?