swingdoctor, you are correct if you use the out, you are only eligible for juco, not d1. Had a case in the 2004 draft where a 49th round pick from the Orlando area had a scholly to ucf and reported to the Pirates for 1 day and lost eligibility. Went to a juco.
The minors are very tough for an 18 year old. I believe that my son was uniquely qualified for a couple of reasons. We had moved around a lot. Three different hs in 4 years, 4 if you consider the whole Williams/Plano East thing,
in 2 different states. He was always used to having to prove himself every year and was never the "star" of the teams until his senior year. Some kids get annointed as freshman coming in because of their reps. Eric never had a rep, just the new kid. That left the adjustment to the minors very easy for my son. We just moved alot because of business and he was used to making new friends. He also played little league in Georgia, Penn, and florida. Same thing. Always the new guy who has to prove himself.
Since he was 4 years old he said that he wanted to be a mlb player one day and it was a foregone conclusion (in his mind, not mine) that he would go if given a "good" opportunity. He had the mindset for it and has adjusted well, according to him.
Not all adjust well. It helped him a lot in his first year in Rookie League. Many struggled. He had a great year. Rookie league is not top notch quality and some very top prospects did not do well. Some really stepped up.
I think that playing in top programs for years and travelling the country playing great teams also prepares the players for tougher competition. Some very highly touted guys in the middle of nowhere have struggled the last 2 years (in the minors) because they went to showcases and didin't really experience a D-Bat , Tigers, or Mustang experience. They have to learn a lot more.