TPM, Not sure I understand which statements your not sure you’re understanding? But I understand that many people do not understand what I’m trying to say. It happens often!
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"Statements", sounds way too official. Could we call them thoughts or opinions?
I will try to explain though. It's always easiest for me to use comparisons and/or examples. Please forgive any unintentional mistake in the numbers below.
For this example let’s compare Iowa and Florida. (Two states near and dear to my heart) I know that’s opposite ends of the baseball spectrum, but just to make a point...
Iowa has 2 DI schools, with a total of 27 out of state players on the rosters. Florida has around a dozen (I think) DI schools.
U of Iowa has 16 out of state players on their roster… Combination of Miami, Florida State and Florida have 16 out of state players on their rosters.
In other words there are an equal number of “possibilities” (call them openings) in the three top Florida Programs as there is at the U of Iowa. Then there’s one more DI scholarship opportunity in the state of Iowa (1 school) and about 9 more DI scholarship opportunities (9 schools) in Florida.
Overall, there will be many more DI players from "out of state" playing in Florida’s dozen DI schools as there is in Iowa’s two DI schools. This despite the fact that the Florida schools predomently recruit "in state" players. More schools being the major reason of course, but never the less more opportunity, more openings, for the talented player to play in Florida vs Iowa. Though I don't know why they would leave the beautiful snow in the North to attend a college in Florida.
By the way, even the Florida Schools want the very best players possible, no matter what state the player is from. Buster Posey should come in kind of handy at Florida State. And Cesar Carrillo came in kind of handy at Miami.
One could also check the same results in say… Arizona vs California or Texas vs Oklahoma.
I'm fairly certain… There will be more out of state players (as a whole) in California than Arizona, despite the fact the California schools have a much higher percentage of in state players. There will be more out of state players (as a whole) in Texas than in Oklahoma, despite the fact the Texas schools have a much higher percentage of in state players. Sorry about using Iowa and Florida as examples (couldn’t help myself)
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Bottom line – More possibilities (as a whole) exist in the big three baseball states for all talented players. In state for sure, but out of state, too! Not by the percentages, but by the raw number of potential openings!
If there are 100 out of state players at Texas DIs and 50 out of state players in Oklahoma DIs. Throw the percentages out the window... there's more chances in Texas!
Of course, if we talk about chances at any "one" specific school from one state vs "one" specific school from another state… You can throw all these numbers out the window.
Hopefully, this might clear up what I was trying to say earlier. Can’t spend much more time trying to explain my thoughts as we are headed to Florida (from Iowa) tomorrow.
Merry Christmas to all