MrsB ...
I don't want to get too involved in this discussion (that might be a first for me) but I did want to comment on rankings by PUBLICATIONS (not necessarily showcase organizations).
One of the things I have noticed over the years, especially with publications like Baseball America, is what I perceive to be a propensity to rank and re-rank the same players year after year ... sometimes, it seems, without consideration for their most recent performances.
In the current print issue of BA, for example, they publish the "Fab 50" lists. These lists identify BA's perception of the best 50 college players by (projected) graduation year. As I am sitting here looking at the page, I count only 51 (or 34%) of the 150 underclassmen listed who have not been previously drafted by a MLB team. [The breakdown: freshmen had only 9 players not drafted; sophomores had 21 players not drafted; juniors** had 21 players not drafted.] The senior class has a much higher percentage of players who have been previously drafted (64%) but most of those players were last drafted in '03.)
I have also noticed that some players identified in various publications as "prospects" are identified by playing stats that are from their "best" season, not necessarily their most recent season. Again, I feel it is a tendancy to continue to re-rank players who have been considered prospects for years. And altho I have my own opinion on it all, I really think part of it is a matter of "company policy" for some of these publications ... as though the "powers that be" have a perception of what a prospect should look like/throw like/hit like etc. ... that gets applied year after year. The MLB teams have their set of ideas and draft profiles for players (e.g., the A's like college pitchers, the Dodgers don't) so why wouldn't these publications have their own "prospect profile"?
One example from the minor leagues, for instance: We have a close friend who was drafted in the 13th round out of high school in 2000 and whose contract was purchased by the Padres in the off season this fall ... he is now a part of their 40-man roster ... he is not identified by Baseball America as one of the Padres top 10 prospects from their minor league organization. He has not been seen by BA as a prospect and who knows if he will ever make one of their lists. But the key for him ...
the Padres see him as a prospect .
By the way ... the ** annotation above is a highlight ... some highly projectible big name prospects who have NEVER been drafted before: Rice pitchers Niemann, Townsend, and Humber; Justin Vanderler; Jered Weaver ... but methinks they are the exception, not the rule.
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Go Highlanders ! ! ! !
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