I have been away for a few days and am finally catching up on all these responses.
First, I agree with many of the posts that this new proposal was not fully thought out.
Second, I want to follow up on Coach Merc's comment about calculations.
In "attempting" to read the D1 manuals current rules, I think there is a difference in recruiting in-state vs. out of staters.
I am hanging my hat on the section on equivalencies and counters.
One of the key calculations is looking at how much money is given to a counter (scholarship player) ie. the numerator. And then looking at what the denominator is for a particular school. What is very clear is that the denominator is the AVERAGE COA for that school.
So, let's say a public school has 10K in state and 20K out of state. All other costs for both students are 10K. So in state pays 20K per year and out of state pays 30K/year. Ratio is 70% in state. That means the average COA is $23K/year. A school under this scenario COULD give out $269,100 in athletic $$$'s. If I am a fully funded program, I can not give out more than that amount. It TODAY's environment, I (as a coach) can NOT give 11.7 OUT of state players FULL RIDES, but I certainly give 11.7 in staters FULL RIDES and still be in compliance.
Let's say today, I am able to recruit 10 instaters for books ($400 as defined by NCAA), that would leave me with $265,100 to "spend". IF I wanted to, I could give "full rides" to 7 out of staters and spread the other 55.1K as I see fit. Under the new rules, if I still decide to give athletic $$'s to those same 10 in staters, I now have to "spend" 67K on those same 10 players. Now I can give full rides to only 6 outstaters, and have only $20K to spread around.
Again, I see D1 coaches might have to change their previous recruiting strategies. The coaches that are flexible to change will probably get an adavantage going forward.
As people have mentioned in the past, many programs have given books and fees to players, and I would guess at state schools that would probably be to in staters allowing more $$$$ 's available to out of state studs.
Here is where I am trying to understand the rule. If I make an offer to an in stater in my scenario derived above, do I have to give an instater $6,666 (33% of instate COA) OR $7,667 (AVG COA)?
At the end of the day, because of the 33% min offer, I see some possible scenarios for publics,
-They may have to change their in state/out state recruiting mix. I see schools who typically recruit a lot of out of staters, may have to change their strategy.
-some schools may decide to fund their baseball programs.
-is it possible some schools might eventually drop baseball rather than try to be in compliance?
I may have confused some of you, but this was cathartic for me