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quote:
There's a world of difference between a HS low 80s type with good location and good movement and good pitch selection and Greg Maddux. Good location and movement for HS and good location and movement for the next level are two completely different things


Agreed!
My offering is that the factors for success in that range are what Greg typifies. It is true that on the whole great pitching can best great hitting.
A kid throwing at those velo's can expect success in no other way...to survive at those speeds he'll absolutely have to do a Maddux type presentation...or throw a knuckler.
A sinker (Which as you know is a 2 seam derivative) and an excellent change will keep the majority of struck pitches on the ground...great for pitch economy and era..will you always win against the best league in the nation...obviously not, but IMO this will give the best chance for at least some success.
quote:
Originally posted by PGStaff:
However, if we are talking about professional baseball and the draft. I honestly can not think of one single pitcher drafted in the first few rounds over the past 5-10 years who did not have MLB average velocity.

At the same time I’ve seen pitchers drafted in the first few rounds who didn’t have anything much except MLB plus velocity.

So while I agree about the value of all these other things in pitching, so far velocity has been proven to be #1. That’s why the scouts carry them radar guns around.

PG, you are smart enough to understand that this is an excellent example of a self-fulfilling prophesy.

Let's say that tomorrow brings a new mantra. Suddenly, to be a decent third baseman you have to weigh at least 250 lbs. [Metaphorically speaking, just an example.] The scouts follow this mantra, because after all, "to be a decent third baseman you have to weigh at least 250 lbs."

After a few years, almost all the pro third baggers will be over 250 lbs. That is all who would be drafted. "WHY MY GOODNESS! THERE IS THE PROOF! To be a decent third bagger you MUST weigh over 250. Why? Because all the pro third baggers weigh 250. Heck, they won't even draft a third bagger who weighs under 250 anymore. So there's gotta be a reason, you know."

Now would anyone buy that a third bagger must be over 250? Of course not. But let the clubs only draft 250 lb. third baggers for a while, and soon experts will begin saying that a third bagger must be over 250.

So nobody gets drafted unless they throw 90. That does NOT mean a pitcher throwing less couldn't be successful. [In fact we know that is NOT the case, there are too many 80's pitchers in the pros.] What it means is that a mantra has developed. And pitchers who aren't 90 don't even get the opportunity to show they can be successful. Self-fulfilling prophesy.

I am really tired of folks using false logic to justify this, when they really are smarter than that - if they would just stop and think things through.

And it is a copout for scouts. With the current mantra, if they recommend a thrower who turns out to be unsuccessful, they can just say "Yeah, but he could sure throw that pill. Man, he lit the radar up." And everyone nods their head in commiseration and no one gets blamed.
Last edited by Texan
quote:
Originally posted by Texan:
quote:
Originally posted by RobV:
Velocit is King

Once you have it, you can be a "pitcher" in the bigs.

If you have it you may get the opportunity to show if you are an MLB pitcher. If all you have is velocity, it better be in three figures and your role be that of a closer.


OK agreed...either way you're still in the bigs right? If you're throwing 83....most likely you're not and not even given the chance.
Not really, Rob. Think about it. The typical 90-95 mph prospect. If velocity is all he has, he probably will never see the bigs.

Agree that today, if you are high 80's, you won't be given the opportunity to show what you can do.

Interesting that KC has removed the guns from its farm system (according to an article I read a while back).
I’m not arguing about the value in throwing with good command, good movement, and changing speeds. These are all vitally important.

Often for high velocity guys the term is used that they are just throwers.

Out of the thousands of athletic skills for all the many sports… Which one would want the BEST thrower? Which position in all of sports would being the best thrower, with the best arm be most advantageous?

This is not anything new or a hypothetical example like a 250 lb 3B, this has been going on since baseball was invented. Bob Feller pitched in the Big Leagues when he was 16 years old. Why? Because he had a great arm!

Greg maddux pitched in the Big Leagues when he was 20 years old. Why, because he had a great arm.

Sure all the other stuff including finesse is important, but it all starts with a great arm! Someone who can throw the ball with velocity.

I don’t doubt there are guys who could be successful in the Big Leagues throwing low to mid 80s, heck, there really are some. Those guys all subtracted velocity to gain in finesse. It’s so much easier to subtract velocity to gain finesse than it is to gain velocity and maintain finesse. If that makes any sense?

I will bet that if the KC Royals draft a pitcher early this year, he will be a 90+ guy. Anyone care to bet? BTW, one of our former scouts now works for the Royals and he does carry a radar gun. This could have something to do with the 100 mph HS kid they picked a few years ago. Lots of money and he didn’t pan out.

Surely everyone here has seen the highest level guys. The best pitchers are almost always guys with outstanding velocity. And there is no one that appreciates the great finesse guys more than I do. Why even argue the point, has baseball scouting been wrong since the very beginning?

Yes, I have seen many real good low velocity pitchers. Some even go on to college and become successful. A very few even become successful at the pro level. That does not change the importance of velocity.
So what are you saying to CaDad? No 90, no play in his league? Disputing your point is ...well pointless...the truth is, that to get a look you have to have the package...ok. What of the pitchers within that league? Should they just pack it in? How can they succeed, without the gas? I'd say they have to pitch, to execute their position and the pitches their coach calls. To be determined and to find a place where they have advantage...that place likely isn't as a fly ball pitcher.... and unless they HAVE Greg like talent I don't guess they are going to k a bunch of these super-hitters in the best(Or one of the best) league(s) in America...So PGA what would you suggest?
jdfromfla,
You just posted this
quote:
So what are you saying to CaDad? No 90, no play in his league?

Earlier you posted this/
quote:
So the inference here is that Greg Maddux wouldn't be successful in your league?

If you are referring to anything I might have said, nothing I've said has anything what-so-ever to do with your questions above.

Thought I said that I’ve seen low velocity pitchers experience success at every level. Let alone the league CADad is talking about. It happens and it's great when it does.

Perhaps my only concern is that young kids understand how important “throwing” the ball with velocity really is. They call it a fastball for a reason and the fastball is still the most important pitch in baseball.

I believe that all parts of pitching can be improved. You can improve location, off speed pitches, knowledge, movement and velocity. If all those things can be improved, I would not place the other things above velocity if the goal is to be successful at a higher level.

I know we have gone beyond the original topic. But here is what troubles me (well not really) I just have a somewhat different opinion.

Every time that these finesse vs velocity topics come up, it seems like people think the high velocity guys don’t have anything except a good fastball. Then it seems the same very few names are brought up to debate the issue. Almost always it is Greg Maddux who was born with a magical arm and threw in the 90s as a young kid. Greg Maddux is very rare, an exception to the rule. However, the vast majority of the very best pitchers are guys with MLB average to well above average velocity. Oddly enough when they first broke in, that even included Greg Maddux and other present day finesse pitchers in nearly every case.

Also when the rare well below average pitcher makes it, I enjoy it as much as anyone. It just doesn't happen very often.

We simply have to follow the draft to see who is selected the earliest and then watch which pitchers get to the big leagues the quickest and become the most successful…College pitchers like Lincecom, Verlander, Miller, Chamberlain, Papelbon, Owings, Pelfrey, etc. High School pitchers like Greinke, Kazmir, Hughes, Billingsley, Broxton, Gallargo, Jenks, Bailey, etc. What is the one thing those pitchers have in common?

Then look at the top minor league pitching prospects for any MLB club, these are the guys considered the best pitchers who generally have experienced the most success. Check the reports on those top prospects and see what they almost always have in common.

I’ll get off the bandwagon with this. I agree with everyone who states that location, mixing speeds, movement, secondary pitches, etc. are extremely important. I agree with those who say a lower velocity pitcher can be successful at any level if he has all those things. But to underestimate the importance of velocity, just doesn’t make any sense based on what we all know.

And I will repeat… All things being equal, the higher the velocity, the harder it is to hit. Remember I said all things being equal. Yes, a hitter might have more success against a straight 90 mph fastball down the middle, than a real well located late moving low 80s. But there are plenty of high velocity pitchers who don’t throw straight fastballs down the middle. So those guys are almost always much better and harder to hit than the same type pitcher who throws in the low 80s.

I really believe that the college coaches, pitching coaches and scouts that talk about other things being the most important are just looking for something to talk about. Otherwise we would see more low velocity guys being drafted by MLB clubs or recruited by the top college programs. I think what the people who say these things mean is… If a pitcher has the required velocity… These other things become most important. I would agree with that!

Please understand that these are all simply my opinions. And my opinions are no more important than anyone elses. I’ve been wrong many, many times.
I don't think what PG is saying is in any way an opinion. It is pure fact - simply the way it is. The verification is every June when you watch the first 5 or so rounds of the draft.
Over the past 25 or so years I've seen 5 or 6 local pitchers go anywhere from the 7th overall pick to the 5th round and all land some nice bonus $. The one common trait - velocity. Some were also very good pitchers, a few weren't but the one thing that drew the scouts out was the velo.
It's the easiest starting point for what you have to have to someday make it. Kind of like high school kids with a 3.5 g.p.a. and 26 act - some could likely get thru and compete at Harvard but they don't get the chance, there's too many 4.5 34/36 act kids with a better chance to choose from.
There will be many great running backs and wide receivers in this weeks NFL draft who will be disappointed at their draft position and dollars. Some will likely have solid NFL careers - but they will be overlooked at first because they run a 4.6, not a 4.5 or 4.4. Just the way it is.
Sit behind any group of scouts and listen to them talk about a pitcher. When asked how he threw, 99 out of 100 times you'll hear "he was 90, 92 or whatever the # is. Command,movement, poise etc. come next - always. No reason to fight this and I totally understand the logic behind velocity as a starting point.
I haven't hit live pitching for many years. However, I know from catching my son that I pay MUCH more attention now at 88-90 than I did when he was 80-84. It's much harder to catch the FB,CB, and even change square in the palm as the velocity goes up. I can tell from catching that it'd be more difficult to hit - simply less time to react.
If you have a kid with talent, of course work very hard on mechanics, control & all the fundamentals to keep him throwing strikes and healthy. But do know that someday if he wants a shot at the draft it's the 2 red numbers on the stalker that will determine how high he's drafted, not his ERA. Still can make it at lower mph but a longer and tougher road.
I have just read this wonderful velocity thread. It is definitely a recurring theme on HSBBW. For those that don't think velocity is important, one question: How come velocity threads generate the most hits?

Texan, your example of a 250-lb 3B is silly. With all due respect, are you trying to convince us that 30 major league organizations, their scouting directors, and the myriad scouts in these organizations are all suffering from dillusional fantasies?

Everyone wants a nice car. Gets you around town, hauls the kids to the lake. But if it doesn't get you up to freeway speed, it is worthless.
Last edited by Bum
quote:
Every time that these finesse vs velocity topics come up, it seems like people think the high velocity guys don’t have anything except a good fastball. Then it seems the same very few names are brought up to debate the issue. Almost always it is Greg Maddux who was born with a magical arm and threw in the 90s as a young kid. Greg Maddux is very rare, an exception to the rule. However, the vast majority of the very best pitchers are guys with MLB average to well above average velocity. Oddly enough when they first broke in, that even included Greg Maddux and other present day finesse pitchers in nearly every case.



Well we've come to agreement. I am a relative newcomer and was attempting to stay on point. You are correct, without velocity the journey stops short of MLB. AND hard throwers (That word again) must have to bring more than just velocity to the table..the vast majority I've seen do (Jupiter last Sept. was a great example...The Braves Scout Team brought some great heat, but both the guys they tossed had more..a curve, a change...enough to get the SUPER-Hitters there off balance, they were certainly more than capable of smashing the 94 MPH heat). What I think is the difference maker with a Josh Beckett is he has an outstanding 2nd pitch (As well as being one of the fiercest competitors in the game).
quote:
Originally posted by Bum:
Texan, your example of a 250-lb 3B is silly. With all due respect, are you trying to convince us that 30 major league organizations, their scouting directors, and the myriad scouts in these organizations are all suffering from dillusional fantasies?

If you don't think entire industries can fall into mantras, I am disappointed that you could be so naive. Every five or ten years corporate America falls into some mantra, and that encompasses far more people and far more organizations that professional baseball.

Individual worker efficiency was once the rage of the corporate world. Piecework compensation. All the experts proclaimed its wisdom and glory. Nearly all major corporations adopted the mantra. Turned out to have major weaknesses. And it eventually fell by the wayside.

Shall I list all the other mantras that have come and gone in the corporate world? The business of baseball is certainly not immune.

So do I believe that pro baseball could fall into accepting a mantra? ABSOLUTELY!!! I have seen too much evidence of it in this world.

And I think you really do understand metaphors and hyperbole.
In most cases, the velocity of the breaking ball is another important attribute. Once again, all things being equal it is all about timing. The less time a hitter has to identify the pitch, the speed of the pitch and the location of the pitch... The harder it becomes to time the pitch and hit it.

The slower the pitch... the better the movement, location, deception, consistency, etc. needs to be.

I do think there is an advantage for those guys who can add and subtract velocity on their fastball. No matter what velocity they throw. (Timing again)

To answer the original question... How to have success in HS at low to mid 80s. Others here have answered that question well...

Become a ground ball pitcher. Work at keeping the ball down and getting movement, specifically sinking movement. Change speeds! work on having a good breaking ball that can be controlled. Same for change up. Work on having good control. If you don't have the best arm, have the best mind. Pick up on hitters weaknesses and faults.

And... Understand that you do not have a large margin for error. A low to mid 80s pitcher simply can't get by with the same mistakes a upper 80s/90 mph pitcher can.

To be as successful in the low 80s, you have to be a much better and smarter "pitcher" than the higher velocity guys with better movement, and better location and be more deceptive and be smarter and.....

And... If your goal is to pitch at a high level someday, work to increase your velocity.
This all goes along pretty well with what has happened in our league. Up until his last couple outings a low to mid 80s type who is an excellent pitcher had the best ERA in the league. To the best of my knowledge he hasn't signed with anyone, but I expect he will eventually. He's been hit relatively hard his second time around the league by the strong hitting teams. I don't know if that is due to familiarity or if he's just thrown too many innings. Of the 6 starters in the league who throw mid to high 80s, 4 have signed with D1s and 2 have verballed. The tall low to mid 90s kid with so-so control is signed D1 and is considered a pro prospect. I don't know what velocity another pitcher who verballed with a D2 throws. The league's other pitcher who has hit 89 at a PG showcase has seen limited use simply because he's got 4 very good pitchers ahead of him, including a couple underclassmen, and I don't know if he's got a college deal yet. I think most of the other kids from the league who have verballed D1 as underclassmen are primarily position players.

BTW, while I agree with the importance of breaking ball velocities in general, Roy Oswalt is the exception to the rule as curve balls are generally about 10-14 mph below the fastball while I've heard his is around 24-25 mph less at times.

In the end, it really isn't difficult conceptually. Keep the ball down, use the off speed stuff but work off the fastball, throw a lot of strikes, give up a little velocity for movement and control in most situations.

Now all they have to do is execute. Smile
Last edited by CADad
Well, he's not my kid but consider a player from San Francisco (plays in WCAL-- a strong league) who signed a November NLI with Fresno State. His top speed last night as measured by a Stalker was 84mph, and was mostly at 82-83. He was probably down a bit in velocity compared to his usual, but I would class him as a low to mid 80s pitcher.

He is also the epitome of projectible: 6' 5" LHP and rail skinny.
Last edited by 3FingeredGlove
quote:
All I here is my boy is upper 80's - low 90's and headed to D1 or talking to scouts.

quote:
Are there any posters sons here who are juniors or seniors and going D1 with a velo of low-mid 80's.


The University of North Floridas staff averages mid-80's, they've defeated UF 4 out of 5 times this year. D-1 or quality NAIA take kids at the mid 80's with the rest of the package...outstanding grades and SAT/ACT scores included.
Even if there are say hundreds of 90 mph guys (IDK going to 9 or 10 different top flight tourneys Perfect Game and World Wood Bat, last summer I saw maybe 10 bona fide 90+ pitchers in 18u class, I'm talking guys who cruised in the 90's not hit it once or twice)...how many schools have how many pitchers, the state of Florida alone has a bunch of D-1 and many many other level schools.
You hear all the time that guys don't peak over 90 til 1st or 2nd year college.
You know something just dawned on me.

I’ve been talking about velocity all this time as well as many other important things without clearly defining what I consider velocity.

When we say 90 mph pitcher, it is someone who can throw a baseball 90 mph or better more than one time. So we are talking about peak velocity not average velocity. The high school kids who never get below 90 are a special breed. Those that can once in awhile reach the 90s are still special, but there are a couple hundred or more high school kids every year that can do that. 101 of the 127 pitchers who threw at our national showcase last year touched 90. Granted only the best we knew of were invited.

Those who can top out in the 90s often pitch in the upper 80s (86-89), sometimes touching even lower numbers. The key factor from a potential stand point is… They can throw a baseball 90 mph. It’s not so much whether you do throw 90 or better, it’s more whether or not you can! Maybe that is where there’s some confusion.

Regarding a few other posts…

jdfromfla,
I don’t know what everyone on North Florida’s staff throws for velocity, but I do personally know of at least one pitcher they have who can throw in the 90s. Anyway, he used to!

3FingeredGlove,
I think I know the kid going to Fresno State you are talking about. He went to one of our events last summer. He’s a low ¾ lefty and really projects at 6’5” or so. He was 83-84 at that event and we graded him an 8 on our scale. Here is our report on him at that time.

*** ****** is a 2008 LHP/OF/1B with a 6'5'', 180 lb. frame from *** *****, CA, who attends ********** ****** HS. Lean, wiry, projectable frame, loose arm, ball comes out clean, low effort, deceptive, sweeping CB, sink FB, fade CH, throws all for strikes, + pitchability, 8 K in 3 IP.

Here are some raw scout notes copied directly from our database…

8 K in 3 IP with 0 H-add to TP list?? SJ-long AA, loose, ball comes out ok, low effort, some, high leg kick, could keep back more, 2/8 sweeping CB, deceptive CB, sink FB, ASR, ASR CH, nice CH, good pitcher, should put on weight and velo, spots FB, throws 3 pitches for K--YES SHOULD BE ADDED TO TP TEAM (8.5) 3IP,0H,0R,8K,9BF DG-live arm, good bc, good release, very good looking pitcher, good tempo, has a chance to pitch at a high level, should gain velocity. + projection, need to follow, definite DI

Anyway, I’m surprised he isn’t throwing harder than that by now.

That’s-a-balk,
There are some low to mid 80s kids who end up at DI schools. Very often they are lefthanders who throw from a lower arm angle.

This has been a good discussion, with some very good points being made by a lot of posters. I love finesse pitchers, but I like the finesse pitchers who throw upper 80s/90+ the best. So do the colleges and pro scouts.
Son, who is freshman lefty, tops out upper 70s with wind to his back. Pitch vasity level during winter ball and had great success against vasity players.Throwing changeups while mixing in a curveball he was able to sneak a fastball in. He has good location and his pitches fall down and away to righthanders giving the 2nd baseman plenty of work with ground balls. Location-Location-Location. But those 90+ mph guys are fun to watch.
quote:
don’t know what everyone on North Florida’s staff throws for velocity, but I do personally know of at least one pitcher they have who can throw in the 90s. Anyway, he used to!


I don't disagree, I have a personal friend who was a closer for Dusty a couple of years back, got drafted into the Jays org. Jarred Payne was 90+ then and believe it or not at 30 still sits there (Even though he's been out of MLB for 5 years...keeps saying he's going to make another run at it.). Bob Shepherd (Asst. Head Coach and Pitching Coach) told me this, he was making a point that it wasn't uncommon for him to take a guy at that speed range. Ive known him since he's been there and he say's he may sign one guy 90+ every other year or so.
78 can be better than 82, 82 can be better than 85, 85 can be better than 88, 88 can be better than 91, 91 can be better than 94. But 94 will always be better than 78! Smile 90 is just a number! yet a somewhat important number.

Now we are back where all this started. All things being somewhat equal, the higher the velocity, the harder to hit!

As a hitter I preferred slow, straight fastballs! Some call that BP.
Last edited by PGStaff
TR,

There aren't enough hitters who have even ever seen 100 mph, to think they might actually prefer that over... what???? A 78 mph fastball?

You have to see it before you can prefer it. I can't even imagine a hitter saying he loves to hit against 100 mph fastballs. I would be more worried about it hitting me.

How do you practice or prepare for 100 mph pitches?

I've only seen one in my life on the gun, let alone wanting to hit against one.

Sorry my friend, no one likes to hit against 100 mph, even if it's straight. Some might say they like it, but when they throw it 100 the guy who hits it well, understands how lucky he was. There might be guys better than others, but there are no good hitters against 100 mph. Nobody has ever made the hall of fame hitting 100 mph fastballs. There have never been any 100 mph guys who can command the strike zone. At 100 you can miss location and still be very successful. And just think how effective your off speed stuff is when you can throw 100mph. A little up in the zone is nearly impossible to hit without a lot of luck.

High school kids just do not see 100 mph. How do they hit it?
I'm always amazed at what some HS kids can hit given that they often see high 70s to low 80s. Low 90s pitchers tend to dominate in HS but they do give up hits.

Cole has been dominant with his velocity and movement but they still get some hits off him. Even so a few more mph and I don't think anyone would get a hit off his fastball.
Last edited by CADad
Allow me to provide a few rules of thumb (tidbits) for the youngsters, as well as the children of the 60's (and later).

a. For every inch of late movement, add 2-3 mph.

(The following are all NOT Decateur readings, which the very old timers (i.e. Hondo, Tommy) talk about today....as in.. "Bear: Any body hit 90 on your gun?")

b. An 82's+ slider (with late movement, and horizontal and vertical depth) get's big league hitters to miss.

c. An 86 mph fastball (and spotted with horizontal and vertical run) is thrown to contact (to get hitters out).

d. A double stop off-speed MF (that fades late and disrupts hitters timing, and with fb arm speed) is thrown to contact and gets outs.

e. What is the best pitch your arm has in the arsenal? Learn and use that one the most! Teach it
to your son and grandson.


cheers
Bear

postscript: Should you find a 96 mph high heater in the strike zone and misses bats, emme me, asap.
Last edited by Bear
CADad,

Not sure there has ever been a pitcher anywhere who never gives up a hit. That would require striking everyone out (no contact).

Cole pitches against some outstanding HS competition. He has pitched against a lot of players who have signed DI and/or will be good draft picks this June.

Hitters are hitting about .100 against him. He has given up 20 hits this year while striking out 83. While the battle between a highest level pitcher and highest level hitter is fun to watch and the outstanding hitter might enjoy that battle… The same hitter will build his stats hitting against the more average pitchers. Not many who actually hit great pitching better than average pitching.

My previous post regarding hitting against 100 mph. I understand what TR meant, hitters do love straight fastballs in their zone. Good hitters look for fastballs. The fastball is the easiest pitch to hit. But how many people have ever seen one from the batters box... I sure haven't!

That said, once the fastball reaches a certain speed that is far above the ordinary for whatever level, it becomes a very tough pitch to hit. It can afford to have a little less movement and not quite as good location.

For the most part hitters at any level will hit what they see the most often. So at the ML level that might be a low 90s fastball that might even have a little sink. At the college level it might be a 84-88 fastball. At the high school level that might be a 80 mph fastball. It’s usually a fastball, though, that hitters hit the best at every level.

The unusually slow (way below average) can sometimes make good hitters look bad at times. The unusually fast (way above average) is just plain hard to hit. Not impossible, but no one hits 100 as well as they hit 90 unless the 90 is a very unusual 90. That is because they just don’t see it very often. Obviously they do see it once in awhile in the Big Leagues, even less in the minor leagues, even far less in college, and for nearly everyone… Never… Below that or in high school.

Chances are, unless you are a Professional hitter you will never see a 100mph fastball. If practice, repetition and timing is an advantage, there is none against the 100 mph fastball. Heck, there’s not even a pitching machine that can crank it up to 100 mph. The only way it can be simulated is by throwing BP at a closer distant and even then it is all together different in everything except reaction time.

Bobby Jenks was throwing straight fastballs in the playoffs and world series a couple years ago. Those straight fastballs worked real well against some of the best hitters in baseball. When Jenks loses velocity (happens at times) he becomes much more hittable.

I’m sure there are competitive kids who would love to face 100 mph, but they are not likely to hit one well. Doesn’t mean they have no chance to make contact and contact always gives someone a chance to get a hit.

Anyway, there is no pitcher who is impossible to hit (for a good hitter anyway). They all give up hits. At the high school level, excluding a few outstanding lower velocity pitchers, the best guys, with the best stats, the least hits given up, the most strikeouts, the least extra base hits, the lowest ERA,s, etc. Have one thing in common. It’s not always location, it’s not always movement, it’s not always having 3 good pitches or mixing things up or deception… It’s almost always high velocity along with something else from above. This doesn't mean that the hardest thrower will have the best stats or even be the best pitcher.

For the umpteenth time… All things are important. Even for the pitcher who has a great arm. But we should never discount the value of high velocity. The young kid with a great arm, we teach to pitch. The young kid with a weak arm, we find a position for. It really is about throwing. That is the main skill involved in pitching... The ability to throw. The better one is at throwing the more likely he might end up being a good pitcher.

Location is vitally important, but location is location, location being equal it works better at the higher velocities.

Movement is important, but the same movement becomes even better at higher velocities.

Off speed, secondary pitches, changing speeds, etc. are all very important, but they all become even better when teamed with higher velocities.

Obviously there are some exceptions to the above. But even Greg Maddux was a better pitcher when he threw at a little higher velocity. In his best years, (Cy Young years) he was an upper 80s/90 guy. Even then he had such a good arm to begin with that he was able to subtract velocity to increase movement and command.

It’s all about percentages IMO the lower velocity guys have to be nearly perfect. The higher velocity guys can get away without being so perfect. There are guys who throw real hard with lots of movement who simply throw the ball and let it do its thing. Even in the Big Leagues, they don’t have to rely on perfect location. When the ball is located well, they are nearly unhittable.

And yes, we have all seen games where the soft tosser beat the hard thrower. It does happen.

These discussions kind of remind me of that old saying… “The bigger they are, the harder they fall”. My philosophy has always been… “The bigger they are, the more damage they can do”. If I’m playing Dodgeball, would much rather dodge 70 mph than 100 mph. If I’m a hitter trying to a hit a small round ball on the small sweet spot of a round wood bat. I’d rather see it a little slower and longer.

BTW, I think everyone involved in this discussion has made very good points. Even ME! Big Grin
quote:
Originally posted by PGStaff:
Bobby Jenks was throwing straight fastballs in the playoffs and world series a couple years ago. Those straight fastballs worked real well against some of the best hitters in baseball.

Lidge was throwing straight fastballs in the playoffs a few years back for the Astros. Those straight fastballs didn't work so well. He was lighting up the radar, and the hitters were lighting him up. Cost the Astros a trip to the WS. Frown
Texan,
I remember that well. But you must admit, Lidge was not exactly a guy anyone would call easy to hit.

Everyone who ever pitched gets hit at times.

Lidge Statistics

Regular season
Career 7 yrs
412 innings pitched
315 hits
573 Strike outs

Playoff record
5 post seasons
25 innings pitched
17 hits
38 strike outs
2.52 ERA

Lidge is the all-time leader in strikeouts-per-nine-innings (12.98) among pitchers with at least 200 appearances in their career.
Not exactly what I would call an easy guy to hit.

He did give up a couple big HRs, to Albert Pujols in the playoffs and to Scott Podsinik in the world series in 2005. The only other year he pitched in a playoff series was 2004. That year he pitched in 7 games. He went 1-0 with 3 saves. 12.1 innings pitched, 5 hits, 20 strike outs. In the league championship series against the Cardinals in 2004 he pitched 8 innings, gave up 1 hit, struck out 14 and had a 0.00 ERA. He dominated!

Also... In 2005 Lidge pitched the bottom of the seventh in the all star game, striking out all three batters he faced. He threw 11 pitches (2 balls) no one made contact with any of Lidge's pitches. These were MLB all star hitters!

In 2005, Lidge finished the season with a 2.29 ERA and 42 saves. He became the second Houston Astros pitcher ever to record at least 40 saves in one season. Billy Wagner was the other.

By the way, Billy Wagner is yet another guy who is hard for major league hitters to hit.

Anyway, I just don’t think hitters really love to see 100 mph. It doesn’t mean they give up on trying to hit it or that it is impossible to hit. I just think the hardest throwers give up less hits and strike out more hitters (less contact being made) than not so hard throwers. To me this means they are harder to hit! It doesn’t necessarily mean they are better pitchers.
ClevelandDad,
He's fine. His velocity is OK, he's worked 84-85 and hit 87 on the JUGS, probably a bit ahead of where I expected him to be at this point. Mentally I'm not as sure. He's been getting limited work and his control and confidence aren't where they should be. He was at 84 on the JUGS today, but in his second inning when he started struggling with his control a bit up in the strike zone giving up a couple hard hit outs he dropped to 83 then 82 and looked like he was aiming the ball which led to worse control. A few weeks ago he was 84-85 in the first inning of a game with so-so control, then gave up a hard hit single at 84 to the first hitter in the second inning and promptly dropped to 83 missing 8 of 9 pitches in the same location just off the outside corner. He went a couple innings today without a baserunner but once he walked a hitter in his third inning he started worrying about it and several walks followed. He throws from the stretch without baserunners so it isn't that. It seems to be mostly a mental thing that he needs to get over. He had one inning outings against the middle of the order of a couple of the top hitting teams in the nation over a couple outings in a row early in the season and when he got behind and laid the ball in there he got hit fairly hard although he only gave up 1 hit in each of those outings and then a couple outings later he gave up a single to a leadoff man, immediately got too fine, walked the next hitter and then got behind a pretty good cleanup hitter. He laid one in there in a fairly good location and it was hit well over the fence. That led to walks and a lack of confidence in his control ever since even though he hasn't been facing very strong competition lately giving up just two hits in his last 6-1/3 innings. The season will be over in a couple weeks and we probably just need to focus on a more consistent release point in the bullpen for a while so that when he gets back on the mound a month later during summer ball he's got something he can fall back on when his control gets off a little bit. I'm pretty sure that when he gets confidence in his control again the velocity he works at will pick up a bit more or at least stay at the 84-85 throughout. Once the season is over we should be able to get him on a regular schedule with the bullpens at least until summer ball starts and that should help a lot. On the positive side, his arm seems to be pretty fresh going into the summer ball/showcase season.
Last edited by CADad

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