Bum;
do you know the history of Jim Converse?
call me.
Bob Williams
How much has he grown? How much stronger is he? How much is his velocity up? If it has gone up consistent with a player rated a 7 then he should continue to be rated a 7. If it has gone up more then he would probably be rated a bit higher. In reality, I would guess that increases in performance over time tend to result in a bit higher ratings because there's less risk involved in projecting the player.
Typically it takes about an 8.5 for a player to end up on the draft lists or they have to have seen the player perform well in a venue where they aren't being given a rating, although I've seen lower than 8.5 on the lists. So there's potential and there's potential. I'd look at the right side of the explanation for a 7.0 which says JUCO or DII and consider that as being the most likely scenario with the potential low round, D1 prospect being the top end if he exceeds expectations. They aren't perfect and fortunately sometimes kids make bigger jumps than anyone could have predicted. A local sophmore performed poorly, for him, at a showcase and was rated a 7.5. He's since committed to a major D1.
Realistically I don't think many kids rated an 8.5 are going to be drafted unless they've improved a lot since being rated. It would be interesting to see what the lower end of the ratings is for kids who have actually been drafted out of HS.
Typically it takes about an 8.5 for a player to end up on the draft lists or they have to have seen the player perform well in a venue where they aren't being given a rating, although I've seen lower than 8.5 on the lists. So there's potential and there's potential. I'd look at the right side of the explanation for a 7.0 which says JUCO or DII and consider that as being the most likely scenario with the potential low round, D1 prospect being the top end if he exceeds expectations. They aren't perfect and fortunately sometimes kids make bigger jumps than anyone could have predicted. A local sophmore performed poorly, for him, at a showcase and was rated a 7.5. He's since committed to a major D1.
Realistically I don't think many kids rated an 8.5 are going to be drafted unless they've improved a lot since being rated. It would be interesting to see what the lower end of the ratings is for kids who have actually been drafted out of HS.
