Just sittin' here 'chillaxin", and thinking back over the past few years...........
Especially to this part of the summer with the Area Code tryouts and the 7/1 contact date.
Yes, CADad, this is about your son.
My son.
And, now, more than 114,157 others, too.
I recall getting a clever mail piece that looked like an Area Code invitation. I threw it away.
Later, I learned there really was an Area Code tryout.
This was before I knew that official Area Code tryouts invitations came from high school coaches and MLB scout references.
I called Bob Williams. "I think I threw my son's invitation away." "Is he on the list?" "No. Should he be?" "Well, I was surprised that he is not............"
Got the invitation in the mail and headed off to Houston. Normal cast of travel team players there that had been playing one another for a few years now. About 200 in all. A ton of all varieties of scouts.
At the end of the day, I saw a very talented pitcher leaving with tears in his eyes (He's in the minor leagues now). Another catcher friend was selected (his second year to attend. He got drafted and now plays at UT and just got passed on in the 2008 MLB draft)
There was another red headed catcher, like my son, that would sign an NLI with Stanford in just a few weeks. He was later joined at Stanford by a catcher named Jeff Clement.
I saw another (unheard of and unlikely looking) young man) hit three off the wall with a wood bat and get the call to California. My son played against him in college.
Most of the maybe 100 pitchers threw to one batter.
Just 20 get to go to California.
Almost all of the 20 are from Houston.
My son didn't get a sniff.
Then an official invite to the Texas Scouts Association tryout at Minute Maid. Only about 50 boys. I saw a big 6'4" kid just hit balls out at will. (He became a star quaterback at OU)
Get in home just in time for all of the 7/1 calls.
Not one.
Not ever.
Then, about two weeks before the NLI deadline a call from a Big 12 coach. "We need a catcher" "Would your son consider coming to my school?"
"We have notes on him from the Area Code tryout and saw him at Minute Maid"
Never knew they were there.
Not a call during the 2004 MLB draft.
A near career ending knee injury in college.
Gave up on the 2007 draft after the 10th round.
Drafted in the 14th round.
Now, season ending shoulder surgery.
Of course none of these things matter, because I am an old timer (with cheese) and I have
quote:
an extremely talented son that does not need to put himself on the line because he is simply good enough
Sorry, I embellished the quote a bit.
http://www.hsbaseballweb.com/inside_the_numbers.htmMaking the Pros
We will make some assumptions on the total numbers of players eligible each draft year.
High School Players @ 114,159 seniors
NCAA (4 year schools) @ 12,581 juniors & seniors
NJCAA (2 year schools) @ 11,520
COA (@ year schools) @ 2,175
That gives us 140,435 "draft eligible" players.
140,129/1,500 = 94
1 player in 94 will be selected in the Major League Baseball Draft
Playing in College
High School seniors = 114,159
College "seniors" (or sophomores when related to juco's) = 13,137
That means their are 114,159 graduating high seniors versus 13,137 slots open
114,159/13,137 = 10.1
1 high school player in every 10 has a chance to play in college.
Maybe 750-1500 of those 13,137 WILL GET A CHANCE to play at a top 100 school.
I would guess that less than 200 of those freshmen will see significant playing time.
The odds get more staggering every day.
The talent level is staggering.
Now is when your son will find out whether he can really play or not.
Now is when dad will find out whether his son can really play or not.
The music is playing.
Find a seat.