Originally Posted by infielddad:
"KC matches up well against SF or St. Louis. More so against Frisco. I'm also not sure I'd call it luck. This team when gelled is plenty talented enough. They own a better bullpen than either of those teams, the starting pitching is at least as good, and the offense is more than adequate."
I am not certain the measuring tools which would say the Royals pen is better than the Giants. They have been very good against the Angels and O's for sure, especially Davis. For the most part, guys in the Giant's pen are the same ones who were there in 2010 and 2012 and have performed in every tough series with the highest pressure. Build in the fact that 3 games against the Cards or Giants won't have the DH and all of a sudden some of those relief pitchers either hit or get replaced and the depth of a bullpen gets challenged.
I certainly understand the "fan" part for the Royals. They are really fun to watch and have talent which applies pressure, sometimes intense pressure. However, I think it is a bit much to be suggesting how each team matches up at this point.
I don't think it's that early to look at matchups (except using the Giants is a bit premature). I've read from a couple of other sources as well that the Giants bullpen is better. I don't see it. Let's take a look at the numbers only for relievers who are likely to pitch in close games or while protecting a lead and forget about guys who only pitch in garbage time. We'll look at the top four relievers for each team.
KC:
Holland - 1.44 era and 3 HR's given up in 62.1 innings
Davis - 1.00 era and 0 home runs in 72 innings
Herrera - 1.41 era and 0 home runs in 70 innings
Frasor - 1.53 era and 1 home run in 17.1 innings
SF:
Machi - 2.58 era and 5 home runs in 66.1 innings
Casilla - 1.70 era and 3 home runs in 58.1 innings
Affeldt - 2.28 era and 1 home run in 55.1 innings
Romo - 3.72 era and 9 home runs in 58 innings
Note that that is 18 home runs given up by the SF top bullpen guys in 238 innings and only 4 by their KC counterparts in 222 innings
This doesn't include the two rookies, Finnegan for KC and Strickland for SF. They have seen significant postseason action with Finnegan playing a crucial role and Strickland getting rocked.
KC played SF three time in July. All AT SF. KC swept, outscoring the Giants 16-6 in those games, beating Bumgarner, Hudson, and Lincecum. In those games, the aforementioned pitchers for KC threw 6.1 innings, gave up ZERO runs, struck out 9 and walked one. The Giants pitchers I mentioned threw 3 innings, gave up 2 runs and and struck out one.
I think KC matches up quite well with SF and I think the KC bullpen, when leaving the analysis only to those pitchers actually likely to pitch, is FAR better than the Giants.