I'm the one who posted about the kid in question on this topic. Grades were not an issue, NHS kid with a mid 20's ACT. The kid committed the Summer after his Sophomore season and signed this year. He was told last week that he hadn't progressed enough. He could be a student and get his baseball scholarship for one year. He was told it was in his best interest to go ahead and find another school so that he wouldn't have to sit out a year. The college in question is having a terrible season and I'm sure that played a role. My guess is that they are looking for impact players to turn it around next year. In my opinion it was a simple misevaluation by the staff from the beginning, but the timing of dropping the kid was absolutely terrible. There are not a lot of options this late in the year.
This is the second kid that I know of that has been dropped late. The other kid was 100% on him, this one is 100% on the college coach. For the kid, it will probably work out for the best. I don't think he was ever going to get on the field at that school and now hopefully he can find somewhere he can. For the college, they burned some bridges that will never be repaired.
This is outside what the school did with the NLI. You say you believe the coaching staff made a mistake evaluating the player. Did the player and his parents make a mistake evaluating the kid's ability to play there? Was he reaching beyond his ability? A lot of kids do and end up transferring.
Probably so. When he was a Sophomore he was recruited based off of a tool. He still has that, but the other tools have not developed to the D1 level. How many kids are going to turn down a D1 offer because they don't think they have that ability?
Exactly.
This is a good example of why the process is not black and white. This is a perfect example of why, at times, it is OK for the player to decommit.
This whole thing ain't easy for either side.
From a school/coach/RC side, how many times can you realistically see a player, really get to know him, really project his potential? How accurate is the info you are gathering? You are researching and talking to a hundred prospects while coaching your current 35 every day along with the very-time-consuming administration and logistics portion of your job. How long can you wait 'til you offer before you lose him to the next school? How many signees are you going to lose to admissions, change-of-heart, being strung along by kids who are rightfully afraid to burn bridges, etc. How may are not going to handle the rigors of the college/baseball life? How many are going to under-perform? How much over-recruiting do you need to do to account for all that? Is it possible to hit that magic number perfectly and still be competitive year in and year out? Very unlikely. If the school comes up short of quality players (per position), HC is screwed. If the school comes up heavy (per position), a player is screwed. Nearly impossible to get everything right.
From the player side, how do you know what the best offer is, how much time you have to find the best fit, where the best fit is, whether you are accurately interpreting what the coach is telling you through your excitement of this first-time experience. Will you pass admissions? How much athletic and academic $ will you actually get? Can you/your parents afford the difference? Will the environment be a fit? How will you handle life on your own? RC saw me on a really good day, can I live up to that? How much better will you get by next year? Will this passionate baseball pursuit allow for a sensible career/school choice (crap, I'm only 16, how the hell should I know)? Why isn't my travel coach helping more? Why is no one talking to me after that showcase? Do I need to take that other offer?
Really, what are the odds of both sides getting it right?
Some families try to do this on their own. Many just expect things to come to them. By the time they learn that isn't the way it works, they are way behind the 8-ball. Some rely on travel organizations. Some are good, some are not so much. Most have their specific connections. Sometimes those connections fit the player. Sometimes, not. when the latter happens, the player can find himself behind the 8-ball.