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In general terms as we have seen it, and with a litle more detail than previous posts...High end JC in CA kinda works like this in the fall...(at least for the less ruthless, non-overecruiting JC's)..
There is NO baseball $...so nobody has any guarantee...the numbers are not necessarily overrecruiting but simply more supply than demand.
Fall try out's...while 70+ might look bad, it breaks down into "logical" categories...
- Half the team or so returns. Great bets to return and move up. 10-15?
- So do a handful of "redshirts" known quantities who were on the bubble the year before and have waited and worked...Good bets. 6-10?
- Then there are a number of new players who have done their homework and are smart or fortunate enough to come in as a "known quantities"...they have tried out in the spring/summer prior, or are 4 year drop downs, or have been seen, or come well reccomended, and so the coach says simply, "yes, you are of our calibre and you are a good bet to work hard and make our team". For them a calculated risk. 10-15?
- Then there are players who are known quantities, may have tried out already in the spring or summer and been told that that they are likley not at this level..."sorry young man your simply not at our level at this point"...but want to give it a last shot anyway. Bad risk, but last shot. 5-15?
- Then there are a bundle of players who come in cold...unknown...either without any contact but knowing it is a quality program, or local kids with their last shot...or many without any clue. Dreamers. 20-50?
At this point there may be 70-90-120 players. But if you have been smart, done your homework the numbers are no s bad as they look, honestly the majority are unrealistic, unprepared and have NOT done their homework. Do some make it? Yes, they do but wihtout doing any homework, for them it is a very tough numbers game. But Brod is correct, many end up elsehwere in other less competitve JC programs.
First few week(s)...cuts are made. Team gets down to roughly 50 (two teams). There once was a point where the fall practices were unregulated...teams played tons of games against other JC's. Now the game schedule is limited to a handful. As a result the program now plays intersquad games over and over and then later both squads play limited games against other JC's.
At the end of the fall, spring rosters and redshirts are chosen. Some players simply leave looking for a higher rung and more PT.
Process begins again...
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