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It is amazing how accurate most pre season polls turn out to be.

The easy part is always gauging the existing talent for the upcoming year, but then I realized the more important factor. The coach.

It the coach has a winning record over the years, his team will usually be ranked higher. If a coach has the opposite losing record, his team will be ranked lower.

It seems the coach is evaluated more than the talent. This makes sense for coaches who run a good program that allows players to progress to the level of play while on that coach's team.

Coaches who consistently play underclassmen over upperclassmen have a tendency to not have a team building program in place. I would think that a student of the coach's style of play would be more seasoned than the newcomer.

These points seem to make picking division leaders a lot easier than just by trying to gauge talent.
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There is a usual assumption that the player that has been under the tutelage of the coach for a longer period would be more preferable to that coach's style of play.

The upperclassman having been groomed by the coach should also have gained that coach's confidence at their position

While there are cases of the occasional phenom coming on the scene, I have noticed that successful coaches play the players who have been on the team longer.
quote:
Originally posted by Quincy:
My point is that consistently winning coaches' teams are usualy chosen higher in pre-season polls than consistently losing coaches' teams.

Q,,
Without sounding like a smart-a$$ how many consistently losing coaches teams make a pre-season poll to begin with?
Last edited by rz1
In high school the forecast for each upcoming district season is what I am referring to as a poll.

Oftentimes, teams with a talented group of ballplayers may still be selected to finish lower than the seemingly weaker team of the consistent winner.

In the college ranks, the top 10 finishing coach's program, though decimated through graduation, will usually rank higher than the stacked team of the coach who just cracked the top 50.
Last edited by Quincy

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