Recruiting Tweet Today

100% agree

First, let’s exclude the studs. Nothing changes for them. They’re still in high demand. My kids are past playing. Obviously, in the past year I haven’t been hanging at baseball fields chatting with parents about their kid’s recruiting experience. I can only go by what I read.

My impression is for every not a stud it’s the “bird in hand” era. Take what you’re offered. If you wait you may lose out. If you get an offer from the dream, stretch school there’s a good chance of getting buried in roster depth.

The rosters are bigger. The day didn’t get longer. For those at the tail end of a large roster there will be less reps to prove you belong.

@RJM posted:

First, let’s exclude the studs. Nothing changes for them. They’re still in high demand. My kids are past playing. Obviously, in the past year I haven’t been hanging at baseball fields chatting with parents about their kid’s recruiting experience. I can only go by what I read.

My impression is for every not a stud it’s the “bird in hand” era. Take what you’re offered. If you wait you may lose out. If you get an offer from the dream, stretch school there’s a good chance of getting buried in roster depth.

The rosters are bigger. The day didn’t get longer. For those at the tail end of a large roster there will be less reps to prove you belong.

100% this. As a '22 dad I have been chatting with parents and this is the gathering consensus. Too much uncertainty about roster size, NCAA rules, transfers, COVID/spring season.

My kid took the bird in the hand and I've not seen him this happy in a long while. His stress about the above variables is gone.

I have a cynical opinion on this.

I read this tweet by a college baseball advisor and see the equivalent of a waiter telling his customers to order the special without reading the menu, eat and pay the check quickly, and clear out for the next paying customer.

If the author of the tweet charged by the hour, he'd be more likely to advise his customers to wait for the right fit.  Since he charges a fixed fee, he is incentivized to advise his customers to quickly accept the first offer.

@knownothingdad posted:

I have a cynical opinion on this.

I read this tweet by a college baseball advisor and see the equivalent of a waiter telling his customers to order the special without reading the menu, eat and pay the check quickly, and clear out for the next paying customer.

If the author of the tweet charged by the hour, he'd be more likely to advise his customers to wait for the right fit.  Since he charges a fixed fee, he is incentivized to advise his customers to quickly accept the first offer.

Not applicable. If the customer passes on the special he still has all,the choices on the menu.

Now let’s apply baseball recruiting to the dining experience. The customer turns down the special. The waiter might be pulling the menu from the customer’s hand telling him there’s nothing else in the kitchen.

If my kid was being recruited now I would pay attention to how long the offer is on the table. Even then, a coach won’t wait if a better prospect comes along. More than any other time a player shouldn’t want to be a late recruit.  Right now late recruit means long shot unless it’s a late bloomer pitcher now throwing 90.

I agree with the sentiment in the tweet.  Holding out for your dream school is a lot riskier this year.

I also agree that the restaurant analogy isn't perfect.  There is no shortage of food in a restaurant, but there is definitely a shortage of roster spots in college baseball this year.

However, I do think the motivation behind the messaging could be the same in both the restaurant and baseball recruiting industries.  If I'm sitting at a restaurant and I see that my waiter is tweeting that his customers are taking too long to decide, I would wonder why, even if the food is getting cold.

I generally agree with the sentiment from the tweet thread.

Another compelling thought in this scenario (of a HS player sitting on a viable offer and posting his status as uncommitted): Go where you are loved. Sure, maybe your dream school will later offer that spot to you a few months (and several uncommitted tweets) down the road, but you would also be further down their wish list versus the offer you already have in hand. That school you are waiting on may eventually *like* you enough, but will they *love* you the way the offer in hand already loves you?

When some of you talk about not wanting to be a late recruit, what are we talking about as late?  Late Junior yr, late Sophomore year? I’ve seen quite a few  commitments posted from even 2024s in the last few months.  It almost seems like the top schools are recruiting younger and may be done by end of sophomore year.